… 4 simulation models of smoking and the natural history of lung cancer to project lung cancer
mortality in the United States from 1964 to 2065 and to estimate the corresponding annual …

… 2015 to 2065 TO THE EDITOR: It is reassuring that the downward trend in smoking and lung
cancer mortality … if efforts to prevent smoking initiation and promote smoking cessation are …

… extent tobacco use and lung cancer mortality will be further reduced during the next half …
2015. To address this question, we developed simulation models that explicitly relate smoking …

… United States, our comparative modeling study used standardized model inputs and allowed
different models … relate individual smoking history to age-specific lung cancer incidence or …

… In contrast to risk-prediction models, natural history models simulate an individual’s entire
… in lung cancer and smoking-related mortality risk. This allows natural history models to …

… We used an established lung cancer simulation model to compare the effects on mortality of
a … Finally, we used a validated model of individual smoking histories in the United States that …

… Cigarette smoking accounts for 81.7% of lung cancer cases and 81.3% of … To characterize
patterns of trends in lung cancer incidence and mortality rates, the joinpoint regression model …

Objectives Understanding the global trend of lung cancer deaths attributable to smoking is
crucial for prioritizing global lung cancer prevention, as well as tobacco control. We assessed …

… reductions in smoking prevalence in the United States, which … lung cancer mortality between
1975 and 2000 at the population level (3), lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer …

… We use this model to evaluate trends in smoking prevalence, smoking-attributable mortality
… Chapter 3: cohort life tables by smoking status, removing lung cancer as a cause of death …