Understanding the sensitivity of hourly precipitation extremes to the warming climate over Eastern China

D Huang, J Zhu, X Xiao, J Cheng… - Environmental …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
D Huang, J Zhu, X Xiao, J Cheng, Y Ding, Y Qian
Environmental Research Communications, 2021iopscience.iop.org
Theoretically, under the warming climate, due to the increase of the atmospheric water
vapor, the precipitation extremes would increase. The Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling
indicates an increase of precipitation extremes at a rate of about 7% globally. However, the
response of precipitation extremes to global warming is complex globally. In this study, we
investigated the hourly precipitation extremes-dew-point temperature scaling relation in
eastern China and the theoretical explanation. It is shown here that the hourly precipitation …
Abstract
Theoretically, under the warming climate, due to the increase of the atmospheric water vapor, the precipitation extremes would increase. The Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling indicates an increase of precipitation extremes at a rate of about 7% globally. However, the response of precipitation extremes to global warming is complex globally. In this study, we investigated the hourly precipitation extremes-dew-point temperature scaling relation in eastern China and the theoretical explanation. It is shown here that the hourly precipitation extreme intensity increases with the dew-point temperature (DPT), following the CC scaling rate. Conversely, as DPT exceeds∼ 22 C, the negative scaling exists, particularly for the southern part of China. The change in the scaling direction as the DPT exceeds 22 C may be attributed to the negative scaling of precipitation efficiency/vertical velocity with DPT. The increase in the convective inhibition and decrease in the temperature advection above∼ 22 C, partially explain the negative scaling of precipitation efficiency and vertical velocity with DPT. Our results may help understanding the variations in precipitation extremes under future warming.
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