Variability of recurrence interval and single-event slip for surface-rupturing earthquakes in New Zealand

A Nicol, R Robinson, RJ Van Dissen… - New Zealand Journal of …, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
rupture the ground surface or the entire fault). Note the similarity of mean synthetic recurrence
for M cg 7.15 (c. 2200 yr) and mean recurrence for geological paleoearthquakes (2270 yr). …

Estimating earthquake probabilities by Jaynes's method of maximum entropy

FL Bookstein - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of …, 2021 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
… analogous to fault ruptures and their recurrence intervals. Here, I … (eg, annual probability of
ground motion exceedance). … measured values of the variable (in our context, the recurrence

Modeling earthquake recurrence in the Himalayan seismic belt using time-dependent stochastic models: implications for future seismic hazards

S Bajaj, ML Sharma - Pure and Applied Geophysics, 2019 - Springer
… an earthquake with moment magnitude 7.8 ruptured the MHT. Zone 4 … conditional probability
of earthquake occurrence is computed using statistical distributions, in which the recurrence

Estimating time‐dependent seismic hazard of faults in the absence of an earthquake recurrence record

GP Biasi, SC Thompson - Bulletin of the Seismological …, 2018 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
groundrupturing earthquakes that have been evaluated with time t and distribution parameters
… For time‐dependent recurrence models, the conditional probability (CP) depends on the …

Earthquake recurrence models and occurrence probabilities of strong earthquakes in the North Aegean Trough (Greece)

C Kourouklas, E Papadimitriou, G Tsaklidis… - Journal of …, 2018 - Springer
probabilities of each individual one for the next 10, 20, and 30 years (starting from 01/01/2016).
The recurrence … of their corresponding fault rupture parameters. The major issues of the …

Mainshock‐consistent ground motion record selection for aftershock sequences

AN Papadopoulos, M Kohrangi… - … & Structural Dynamics, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
rupture (in other words, we cannot afford here to consider many samples of the AS ground
motions to fill the entire conditional … (eg via maximum likelihood estimation as discussed in …

M ≥ 7 earthquake rupture forecast and time‐dependent probability for the sea of Marmara region, Turkey

M Murru, A Akinci, G Falcone, S Pucci… - Journal of …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
… relative ground motions produced by the earthquake rupture. … of occurrence probabilities
combined with estimates of ground … three probability models to represent the recurrence time …

Time-dependent probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis using stochastic rupture sources

K Goda - Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk …, 2019 - Springer
… respect to the recurrence process of the earthquake rupture. In … of the conditional probability
distribution function of IM for a … slip and scaling of fault rupture geometry as a function of M. …

Stochastic modelling of earthquake interoccurrence times in Northwest Himalaya and adjoining regions

S Pasari - Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method for parameter … curves (obtained from conditional
probability values) in Figure 4 … The earthquake recurrence in different regions of the world …

Rupture passing probabilities at fault bends and steps, with application to rupture length probabilities for earthquake early warning

GP Biasi, SG Wesnousky - Bulletin of the Seismological …, 2021 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
rupture and ground‐motion template matching to observed … the MFD appropriate to describe
the recurrence of large (⁠ M > … The conditional probability P k ( L ) of rupture length L under …