Bayesian versus empirical calibration of microsimulation models: a comparative analysis

SA Chrysanthopoulou, CM Rutter… - Medical Decision …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
Calibration of a microsimulation model (MSM) is a challenging but crucial step for the
development of a valid model. Numerous calibration methods for MSMs have been …

[PDF][PDF] MILC: a microsimulation model of the natural history of lung cancer

SA Chrysanthopoulou - Int J Microsimulation, 2017 - … -file-uploads-global.s3.dualstack.us …
The Microsimulation Lung Cancer (MILC) model was developed to simulate individual
trajectories and predict outcomes of lung cancer for populations. The model describes the …

Microsimulation model calibration with approximate bayesian computation in r: A tutorial

P Shewmaker, SA Chrysanthopoulou… - Medical Decision …, 2022 - journals.sagepub.com
Mathematical health policy models, including microsimulation models (MSMs), are widely
used to simulate complex processes and predict outcomes consistent with available data …

Calibration of disease simulation model using an engineering approach

CY Kong, PM McMahon, GS Gazelle - Value in health, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
Objectives: Calibrating a disease simulation model's outputs to existing clinical data is vital
to generate confidence in the model's predictive ability. Calibration involves two challenges …

[HTML][HTML] Microsimulation model calibration using incremental mixture approximate Bayesian computation

CM Rutter, J Ozik, M DeYoreo… - The Annals of Applied …, 2019 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Microsimulation models (MSMs) are used to inform policy by predicting population-level
outcomes under different scenarios. MSMs simulate individual-level event histories that …

Bayesian calibration of microsimulation models

CM Rutter, DL Miglioretti… - Journal of the American …, 2009 - Taylor & Francis
Microsimulation models that describe disease processes synthesize information from
multiple sources and can be used to estimate the effects of screening and treatment on …

[HTML][HTML] Sequentially calibrating a Bayesian microsimulation model to incorporate new information and assumptions

M DeYoreo, CM Rutter, J Ozik, N Collier - BMC Medical Informatics and …, 2022 - Springer
Background Microsimulation models are mathematical models that simulate event histories
for individual members of a population. They are useful for policy decisions because they …

Evaluating parameter uncertainty in a simulation model of cancer using emulators

TM de Carvalho, EAM Heijnsdijk… - Medical Decision …, 2019 - journals.sagepub.com
Background. Microsimulation models have been extensively used in the field of cancer
modeling. However, there is substantial uncertainty regarding estimates from these models …

Calibrating parameters for microsimulation disease models: a review and comparison of different goodness-of-fit criteria

A van der Steen, J van Rosmalen… - Medical Decision …, 2016 - journals.sagepub.com
Background. Calibration (estimation of model parameters) compares model outcomes with
observed outcomes and explores possible model parameter values to identify the set of …

Dynamic microsimulation models for health outcomes: a review

CM Rutter, AM Zaslavsky… - Medical Decision …, 2011 - journals.sagepub.com
Background. Microsimulation models (MSMs) for health outcomes simulate individual event
histories associated with key components of a disease process; these simulated life histories …