[HTML][HTML] Microsimulation model calibration using incremental mixture approximate Bayesian computation

CM Rutter, J Ozik, M DeYoreo… - The Annals of Applied …, 2019 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Microsimulation models (MSMs) are used to inform policy by predicting population-level
outcomes under different scenarios. MSMs simulate individual-level event histories that …

Bayesian calibration of microsimulation models

CM Rutter, DL Miglioretti… - Journal of the American …, 2009 - Taylor & Francis
Microsimulation models that describe disease processes synthesize information from
multiple sources and can be used to estimate the effects of screening and treatment on …

Microsimulation model calibration with approximate bayesian computation in r: A tutorial

P Shewmaker, SA Chrysanthopoulou… - Medical Decision …, 2022 - journals.sagepub.com
Mathematical health policy models, including microsimulation models (MSMs), are widely
used to simulate complex processes and predict outcomes consistent with available data …

[HTML][HTML] Sequentially calibrating a Bayesian microsimulation model to incorporate new information and assumptions

M DeYoreo, CM Rutter, J Ozik, N Collier - BMC Medical Informatics and …, 2022 - Springer
Background Microsimulation models are mathematical models that simulate event histories
for individual members of a population. They are useful for policy decisions because they …

Bayesian versus empirical calibration of microsimulation models: a comparative analysis

SA Chrysanthopoulou, CM Rutter… - Medical Decision …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
Calibration of a microsimulation model (MSM) is a challenging but crucial step for the
development of a valid model. Numerous calibration methods for MSMs have been …

Assessing uncertainty in microsimulation modelling with application to cancer screening interventions

KA Cronin, JM Legler, RD Etzioni - Statistics in Medicine, 1998 - Wiley Online Library
Microsimulation is fast becoming the approach of choice for modelling and analysing
complex processes in the absence of mathematical tractability. While this approach has …

Dynamic microsimulation models for health outcomes: a review

CM Rutter, AM Zaslavsky… - Medical Decision …, 2011 - journals.sagepub.com
Background. Microsimulation models (MSMs) for health outcomes simulate individual event
histories associated with key components of a disease process; these simulated life histories …

On the use of approximate Bayesian computation Markov chain Monte Carlo with inflated tolerance and post-correction

M Vihola, J Franks - Biometrika, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Approximate Bayesian computation enables inference for complicated probabilistic models
with intractable likelihoods using model simulations. The Markov chain Monte Carlo …

On the choice of MCMC kernels for approximate Bayesian computation with SMC samplers

A Lee - Proceedings of the 2012 Winter simulation conference …, 2012 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of simulation-based statistical inference
procedures that are increasingly being applied in scenarios where the likelihood function is …

MCMC perspectives on simulated likelihood estimation

I Jeliazkov, EH Lee - Maximum simulated likelihood methods and …, 2010 - emerald.com
A major stumbling block in multivariate discrete data analysis is the problem of evaluating
the outcome probabilities that enter the likelihood function. Calculation of these probabilities …