[PDF][PDF] A New Generation of Earthquake Recurrence Models Based on The Extreme Value Theory and Impact on Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessments

A Dutfoy, G Senfaute - Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering …, 2021 - pdfs.semanticscholar.org
… We use the maximum likelihood estimators taking into account … ters, such as the fault length
or the rupture dimension ([6], [36]). … (peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, peak

Estimating earthquake probabilities by Jaynes's method of maximum entropy

FL Bookstein - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of …, 2021 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
… analogous to fault ruptures and their recurrence intervals. Here, I … (eg, annual probability of
ground motion exceedance). … measured values of the variable (in our context, the recurrence

Modeling earthquake recurrence in the Himalayan seismic belt using time-dependent stochastic models: implications for future seismic hazards

S Bajaj, ML Sharma - Pure and Applied Geophysics, 2019 - Springer
… an earthquake with moment magnitude 7.8 ruptured the MHT. Zone 4 … conditional probability
of earthquake occurrence is computed using statistical distributions, in which the recurrence

[HTML][HTML] Statistical characterization of full-margin rupture recurrence for Cascadia subduction zone using event time resampling and Gaussian mixture model

K Goda - Geoscience Letters, 2023 - Springer
… on buried soil/marsh data on land, implying that T2 might have … The results with the highest
log likelihood value is adopted … Subsequently, simulate t IAT from the conditional probability

Mainshock‐consistent ground motion record selection for aftershock sequences

AN Papadopoulos, M Kohrangi… - … & Structural Dynamics, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
rupture (in other words, we cannot afford here to consider many samples of the AS ground
motions to fill the entire conditional … (eg via maximum likelihood estimation as discussed in …

Estimating the recurrence of earthquakes with statistical methods in the city of Bingöl, Eastern Türkiye: a district-based approach

S Alashan, K Akbayram, ÖF Nemutlu - Bulletin of the Mineral …, 2023 - dergipark.org.tr
… We determine the probability distributions and return periods of earthquakes for all districts
… time-dependent probability distributions for analysis. Using the annual maximum earthquake …

The randomized Gutenberg–Richter model: a recurrence model based on extreme value theory—impacts on probabilistic seismic hazard analyses and comparison …

A Dutfoy, G Senfaute - Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 2022 - Springer
… p}\) is also a maximum likelihood estimator, asymptotically normal, with … parameters of
interest include different intensity measures (peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, peak

Time-dependent probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis using stochastic rupture sources

K Goda - Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk …, 2019 - Springer
… respect to the recurrence process of the earthquake rupture. In … of the conditional probability
distribution function of IM for a … slip and scaling of fault rupture geometry as a function of M. …

Conditioning criteria based on multiple intensity measures for selecting hazard-consistent aftershock ground motion records

AR Ghotbi, E Taciroglu - Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 2020 - Elsevier
… of a fault rupture as a function of magnitude [17], this study will seek to determine a probability
… ( I M ) ‾ σ ln ( IM ) | m i , r i ) where P ( I M > i m | m i , r i ) is the conditional probability of …

Rupture passing probabilities at fault bends and steps, with application to rupture length probabilities for earthquake early warning

GP Biasi, SG Wesnousky - Bulletin of the Seismological …, 2021 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
rupture and ground‐motion template matching to observed … the MFD appropriate to describe
the recurrence of large (⁠ M > … The conditional probability P k ( L ) of rupture length L under …