This article examines how interstate signaling processes operate under multiple dimensions
of uncertainty. The existing signaling literature largely assumes that states communicate and …

Recent studies of uncertainty in international relations treat nation-states as unitary actors,
but it may be more realistic to suppose that uncertainty also arises from domestic decision …

These design choices force the modeler to consider the essence of the problem they wish to
explore. In practice, we find the design process to be iterative, beginning with a first model …

One of the most intractable debates in IR revolves around the severity and frequency of the
security dilemma. Offensive realists argue that states are compelled to make worst-case …

Bargaining theories of interstate conflict posit that war stems from a state's uncertainty about
its rival's capabilities or resolve. While theoretically compelling, this model is difficult to test …

How do states solve n-choice cooperation problems? Although classical game theory offers
useful insights into how states achieve cooperation, its focus on equilibria means that it is …

Most of the contemporary policy debate regarding economic interdependence and peace
has focused on devising responses either in favor of or in opposition to the prevailing notion …

International cooperation is plagued by uncertainty. Although states negotiate the best
agreements possible using available information, unpredictable things happen after …

We develop and test a theory of the supply side of third party conflict management. Building
on an existing formal model of mediation (Kydd, 2003), we consider the influence of broad …

As the United States and China mark their 40th anniversary of formal diplomatic relations in
2019, the world's most important bilateral relationship is increasingly defined by mistrust …