Temperature and precipitation projections for the Antarctic Peninsula over the next two decades: contrasting global and regional climate model simulations

D Bozkurt, DH Bromwich, J Carrasco, R Rondanelli - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
Antarctic Peninsula under the high-emission scenario (RCP8.5). We make use of historical
and projected simulations from 19 global climate … of global warming of 1.5\(^{\circ }\)C above …

Surface melt and runoff on Antarctic ice shelves at 1.5 C, 2 C, and 4 C of future warming

E Gilbert, C Kittel - Geophysical Research Letters, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
under warming scenarios of 1.5C, 2C, and 4C above pre-industrial temperatures. Our results
show that warming … on the Antarctic Peninsula during all time intervals—at 1.5C, liquid …

Projection of large-scale atmospheric circulations over three poles and their remote climatic influences under 1.5 C and 2 C global warming levels

Y Yang, T Wei, B Chen - Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2024 - Springer
… when global warming reaches 2 C. For … under the 1.5 C scenario, leading to a stronger
influence of the AAO on the SAT in the Antarctic Peninsula and a weaker effect in East Antarctica

Polar amplification and ice free conditions under 1.5, 2 and 3 C of global warming as simulated by CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

F Casagrande, FAB Neto, RB de Souza, P Nobre - Atmosphere, 2021 - mdpi.com
scenarios of 1.5 C global warming is about 3 C (1.8 C). In … records located in the Antarctic
Peninsula do not indicate a … threshold of +1.5 C, 2.0 C and 3.0 C global warming (previously …

Atmospheric blocking and temperatures in the Antarctic Peninsula

D Bozkurt, JC Marín, C Verdugo, BS Barrett - Science of The Total …, 2024 - Elsevier
… the SSP5–8.5 climate change scenario, a high greenhouse gas emission scenario leading to
… CMIP6 models used in this study to construct blocking indices over the Antarctic Peninsula. …

Acceleration of climate warming and plant dynamics in Antarctica

N Cannone, F Malfasi, SE Favero-Longo, P Convey… - Current Biology, 2022 - cell.com
… The Antarctic Peninsula under a 1.5C global warming scenario. … antarctica and C. quitensis
could result from a combination of climate warming and the recently reduced impacts of …

Southward migration of the zero-degree isotherm latitude over the Southern Ocean and the Antarctic Peninsula: Cryospheric, biotic and societal implications

S González-Herrero, F Navarro, LR Pertierra… - Science of the Total …, 2024 - Elsevier
… that the ZIL migration velocity will increase under both SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios
AP will accelerate soil temperature increase as climate warms. Permafrost will thaw in lowland …

Assessment of future Antarctic amplification of surface temperature change under different Scenarios from CMIP6

J Zhu, A Xie, X Qin, B Xu - Journal of Mountain Science, 2023 - Springer
scenarios are not great, we only compare the change of Antarctic temperature at global
warming of 1.5C and 2.0C … threshold, the Antarctic Peninsula experiences faster warming under

The Paris Climate Agreement and future sea-level rise from Antarctica

RM DeConto, D Pollard, RB Alley, I Velicogna… - Nature, 2021 - nature.com
… Crane Glacier, previously buttressed by the Larsen B ice shelf on the Antarctic Peninsula, is
… of the AIS to scenarios representing +1.5 C and +2 C global warming limits, a +3 C scenario

The influence of emissions scenarios on future Antarctic ice loss is unlikely to emerge this century

DP Lowry, M Krapp, NR Golledge… - … Earth & Environment, 2021 - nature.com
… given climate scenario to a control ensemble (constant climate) … scenario, and in the Weddell
sector and Antarctic Peninsula … of well below 2 C of global warming, we explore how 2 C of …