Species distribution models rarely predict the biology of real populations

J A. Lee‐Yaw, J L. McCune, S Pironon, S N. Sheth - Ecography, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used in ecology. In theory, SDMs capture (at
least part of) species' ecological niches and can be used to make inferences about the …

Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time

J Elith, JR Leathwick - Annual review of ecology, evolution, and …, 2009 - annualreviews.org
Species distribution models (SDMs) are numerical tools that combine observations of
species occurrence or abundance with environmental estimates. They are used to gain …

Improving species distribution models: the value of data on abundance

C Howard, PA Stephens… - Methods in Ecology …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) are important tools for forecasting the potential impacts
of future environmental changes but debate remains over the most robust modelling …

What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models?

C Merow, MJ Smith, TC Edwards Jr, A Guisan… - …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to explain and predict species ranges
and environmental niches. They are most commonly constructed by inferring species' …

Is my species distribution model fit for purpose? Matching data and models to applications

G Guillera‐Arroita, JJ Lahoz‐Monfort… - Global ecology and …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDM s) are used to inform a range of ecological,
biogeographical and conservation applications. However, users often underestimate the …

Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions

A Guisan, R Tingley, JB Baumgartner… - Ecology …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly proposed to support conservation
decision making. However, evidence of SDMs supporting solutions for on‐ground …

Presence-only species distribution models are sensitive to sample prevalence: Evaluating models using spatial prediction stability and accuracy metrics

L Grimmett, R Whitsed, A Horta - Ecological Modelling, 2020 - Elsevier
Species distribution modelling (SDM) is an important tool for ecologists, but different
algorithms and different sampling strategies produce different results. Using virtual species …

A comprehensive evaluation of predictive performance of 33 species distribution models at species and community levels

A Norberg, N Abrego, FG Blanchet… - Ecological …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
A large array of species distribution model (SDM) approaches has been developed for
explaining and predicting the occurrences of individual species or species assemblages …

Do they? How do they? WHY do they differ? On finding reasons for differing performances of species distribution models

J Elith, CH Graham - Ecography, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly being used to address a diverse range
of applied and theoretical questions (Guisan and Thuiller 2005, Jeschke and Strayer 2008) …

Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models

A Guisan, W Thuiller - Ecology letters, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
In the last two decades, interest in species distribution models (SDMs) of plants and animals
has grown dramatically. Recent advances in SDMs allow us to potentially forecast …