Regime shifts, risk premiums in the term structure, and the business cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2004 - Taylor & Francis
Recent evidence indicates that using multiple forward rates sharply predicts future excess
returns on US Treasury Bonds, with the R 2's being around 30%. The projection coefficients …

Regime-Shifts, Risk Premiums in the Term Structure, and the Business Cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - 2003 - federalreserve.gov
We examine various dynamic term structure models for monthly US Treasury yields from
1964 to 2001. Of particular interest is the predictability of bond excess returns. Recent …

Regime Shifts, Risk Premiums in the Term Structure, and the Business Cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - Journal of Business & …, 2004 - search.proquest.com
Recent evidence indicates that using multiple forward rates sharply predicts future excess
returns on US Treasury Bonds, with the R2's being around 30%. The projection coefficients …

[PDF][PDF] Regime-Shifts, Risk Premiums in the Term Structure, and the Business Cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - academia.edu
Recent evidence indicates that using multiple forward rates sharply predicts future excess
returns on US Treasury bonds—the R2's being around 30%. The projection coefficients in …

[PDF][PDF] Regime-Shifts, Risk Premiums in the Term Structure, and the Business Cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - Citeseer
Recent evidence indicates that using multiple forward rates sharply predicts future excess
returns on US Treasury bonds—the R2's being around 30%. The projection coefficients in …

Regime Shifts, Risk Premiums in the Term Structure, and the Business Cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2004 - JSTOR
Recent evidence indicates that using multiple forward rates sharply predicts future excess
returns on US Treasury Bonds, with the R 2's being around 30%. The projection coefficients …

Regime-shifts, risk premiums in the term structure, and the business cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - 2003 - fedinprint.org
We examine various dynamic term structure models for monthly US Treasury yields from
1964 to 2001. Of particular interest is the predictability of bond excess returns. Recent …

Regime-shifts, risk premiums in the term structure, and the business cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - 2003 - econpapers.repec.org
We examine various dynamic term structure models for monthly US Treasury yields from
1964 to 2001. Of particular interest is the predictability of bond excess returns. Recent …

Regime-shifts, risk premiums in the term structure, and the business cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - 2003 - ideas.repec.org
We examine various dynamic term structure models for monthly US Treasury yields from
1964 to 2001. Of particular interest is the predictability of bond excess returns. Recent …

Regime-Shifts, Risk Premiums in the Term Structure, and the Business Cycle

R Bansal, G Tauchen, H Zhou - Duke University, Economics …, 2003 - papers.ssrn.com
We examine various dynamic term structure models for monthly US Treasury yields from
1964 to 2001. Of particular interest is the predictability of bond excess returns. Recent …