Finite sample deviation and variance bounds for first order autoregressive processes
RA González, CR Rojas - ICASSP 2020-2020 IEEE …, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
ICASSP 2020-2020 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics …, 2020•ieeexplore.ieee.org
In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order
autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper
bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by at least a positive ε from its true
value. Our results consider both stable and unstable processes. Afterwards, we obtain
problem-dependent non-asymptotic bounds on the variance of this estimator, valid for
sample sizes greater than or equal to seven. Via simulations we analyze the conservatism of …
autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper
bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by at least a positive ε from its true
value. Our results consider both stable and unstable processes. Afterwards, we obtain
problem-dependent non-asymptotic bounds on the variance of this estimator, valid for
sample sizes greater than or equal to seven. Via simulations we analyze the conservatism of …
In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by at least a positive ε from its true value. Our results consider both stable and unstable processes. Afterwards, we obtain problem-dependent non-asymptotic bounds on the variance of this estimator, valid for sample sizes greater than or equal to seven. Via simulations we analyze the conservatism of our bounds, and show that they reliably capture the true behavior of the quantities of interest.
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