Forecasted and observed drug overdose deaths in the US during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with the highest annual number of fatal drug
overdoses on record in the US in 2020. 1, 2 However, before the pandemic, there was an
increasing trend in drug overdose deaths through 2019. 3 The objective of this study was to
estimate the proportion of drug overdose deaths in the US during the latter 43 weeks of 2020
in excess of time series forecasts based on national historical trends.
overdoses on record in the US in 2020. 1, 2 However, before the pandemic, there was an
increasing trend in drug overdose deaths through 2019. 3 The objective of this study was to
estimate the proportion of drug overdose deaths in the US during the latter 43 weeks of 2020
in excess of time series forecasts based on national historical trends.
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