Interest rates and efficiency in medieval wool forward contracts

AR Bell, C Brooks, P Dryburgh - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2007 - Elsevier
AR Bell, C Brooks, P Dryburgh
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2007Elsevier
While it is commonly believed that derivative instruments are a recent invention, we
document the existence of forward contracts for the sale of wool in medieval England around
700 years ago. The contracts were generally entered into by English monasteries, who
frequently sold their wool for up to 20 years in advance to mostly foreign and particularly
Italian merchants. Employing a unique source of data collected by hand from the historical
records, we determine the interest rates implied in these transactions and we also examine …
While it is commonly believed that derivative instruments are a recent invention, we document the existence of forward contracts for the sale of wool in medieval England around 700 years ago. The contracts were generally entered into by English monasteries, who frequently sold their wool for up to 20 years in advance to mostly foreign and particularly Italian merchants. Employing a unique source of data collected by hand from the historical records, we determine the interest rates implied in these transactions and we also examine the efficiency of the forward and spot markets. The calculated interest rates average around 20%, in accordance with available information concerning the interest rates used in other types of transactions at that time. Perhaps surprisingly, we also find little evidence of informational inefficiencies in these markets.
Elsevier
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