Long‐run monetary neutrality and long‐horizon regressions

PJ Coe, JM Nason - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2004 - Wiley Online Library
PJ Coe, JM Nason
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2004Wiley Online Library
A prominent test of long‐run monetary neutrality (LRMN) involves regressing long‐horizon
output growth on long‐horizon money growth. We obtain limited support for LRMN with this
test in long‐annual Australian, Canadian, UK and US samples. Although empirical
confidence intervals yield evidence in favour of LRMN, Monte Carlo experiments reveal the
power of this test is near its size. Thus, this test is unlikely to detect important deviations from
LRMN. These problems arise because the long‐horizon regression test of LRMN relies on …
Abstract
A prominent test of long‐run monetary neutrality (LRMN) involves regressing long‐horizon output growth on long‐horizon money growth. We obtain limited support for LRMN with this test in long‐annual Australian, Canadian, UK and US samples. Although empirical confidence intervals yield evidence in favour of LRMN, Monte Carlo experiments reveal the power of this test is near its size. Thus, this test is unlikely to detect important deviations from LRMN. These problems arise because the long‐horizon regression test of LRMN relies on estimates of the covariance of long‐horizon output growth and long‐horizon money growth. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Wiley Online Library
以上显示的是最相近的搜索结果。 查看全部搜索结果