Reproduction number and asymptotic stability for the dynamics of a honey bee colony with continuous age structure

MI Betti, LM Wahl, M Zamir - Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2017 - Springer
MI Betti, LM Wahl, M Zamir
Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2017Springer
A system of partial differential equations is derived as a model for the dynamics of a honey
bee colony with a continuous age distribution, and the system is then extended to include
the effects of a simplified infectious disease. In the disease-free case, we analytically derive
the equilibrium age distribution within the colony and propose a novel approach for
determining the global asymptotic stability of a reduced model. Furthermore, we present a
method for determining the basic reproduction number R_0 R 0 of the infection; the method …
Abstract
A system of partial differential equations is derived as a model for the dynamics of a honey bee colony with a continuous age distribution, and the system is then extended to include the effects of a simplified infectious disease. In the disease-free case, we analytically derive the equilibrium age distribution within the colony and propose a novel approach for determining the global asymptotic stability of a reduced model. Furthermore, we present a method for determining the basic reproduction number of the infection; the method can be applied to other age-structured disease models with interacting susceptible classes. The results of asymptotic stability indicate that a honey bee colony suffering losses will recover naturally so long as the cause of the losses is removed before the colony collapses. Our expression for has potential uses in the tracking and control of an infectious disease within a bee colony.
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