Background Malaria continues to be a disease of massive burden in Africa, and the public
health resources targeted at surveillance, prevention, control, and intervention comprise
large outlays of expense. Malaria transmission is largely constrained by the suitability of the
climate for Anopheles mosquitoes and Plasmodium parasite development. Thus, as climate
changes, shifts in geographic locations suitable for transmission, and differing lengths of
seasons of suitability will occur, which will require changes in the types and amounts of …

“Shifting suitability due to climate change will place additional people at risk despite
reductions in endemic and seasonal malaria transmission, resulting in a net gain of a low of
58.7 million and a high of 60.4 million people who experience some level of malaria risk in
Western Africa by the 2030s.”