[HTML][HTML] Strengthening of tropical Indian Ocean teleconnection to the northwest Pacific since the mid-1970s: An atmospheric GCM study
The correlation of northwest (NW) Pacific climate anomalies during summer with El Niño–
Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the preceding winter strengthens in the mid-1970s and
remains high. This study investigates the hypothesis that the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO)
response to ENSO is key to this interdecadal change, using a 21-member ensemble
simulation with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 3 (CAM3) forced by the observed
history of sea surface temperature (SST) for 1950–2000. In the model hindcast, the TIO …
Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the preceding winter strengthens in the mid-1970s and
remains high. This study investigates the hypothesis that the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO)
response to ENSO is key to this interdecadal change, using a 21-member ensemble
simulation with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 3 (CAM3) forced by the observed
history of sea surface temperature (SST) for 1950–2000. In the model hindcast, the TIO …
Abstract
The correlation of northwest (NW) Pacific climate anomalies during summer with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the preceding winter strengthens in the mid-1970s and remains high. This study investigates the hypothesis that the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) response to ENSO is key to this interdecadal change, using a 21-member ensemble simulation with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 3 (CAM3) forced by the observed history of sea surface temperature (SST) for 1950–2000. In the model hindcast, the TIO influence on the summer NW Pacific strengthens in the mid-1970s, and the strengthened TIO teleconnection coincides with an intensification of summer SST variability over the TIO. This result is corroborated by the fact the model’s skills in simulating NW Pacific climate anomalies during summer increase after the 1970s shift.
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