Forecasting the global burden of disease to 2050

M Zhou, H Shen - The Lancet, 2024 - thelancet.com
… Under the framework of this study, other forecasting models can be built to evaluate the …
We believe the information presented in the work by the GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators is …

Forecasting the global burden of Alzheimer's disease

R Brookmeyer, E Johnson, K Ziegler-Graham… - Alzheimer's & …, 2007 - Elsevier
… this study is to forecast the global burden of Alzheimer’s disease, based on a mathematical
model that incorporates the aging of the world’s population. The model is used to forecast the …

Forecasting and analyzing the disease burden of aged population in China, based on the 2010 global burden of disease study

C Bao, M Mayila, Z Ye, J Wang, M Jin, W He… - International journal of …, 2015 - mdpi.com
… Background: Forecasting the disease burden of the elderly will contribute to make a …
provided by Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Grey model GM (1, 1) was used to forecast all-…

The global burden of disease study at 30 years

CJL Murray - Nature medicine, 2022 - nature.com
forecast scenarios each year for a set of health-related Sustainable Development Goals. In
the future, forecasts … and country-specific forecasting and scenario analyses. As noted, these …

Major strides in forecasting future health

T Blakely - The Lancet, 2018 - thelancet.com
… of future health; forecasting future fertility, … forecasts are likely to be of huge policy interest
and importance—perhaps even overshadowing standard outputs from the Global Burden

[HTML][HTML] … , migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

SE Vollset, E Goren, CW Yuan, J Cao, AE Smith… - The Lancet, 2020 - thelancet.com
… Our reference forecast of the global population in 2100 was lower than the Wittgenstein
Centre forecast and much lower than the UNPD forecast. Our findings suggest that, because of …

The burden of rheumatoid arthritis: findings from the 2019 global burden of diseases study and forecasts for 2030 by Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis

Y Cai, J Zhang, J Liang, M Xiao, G Zhang… - Journal of clinical …, 2023 - mdpi.com
… up-to-date information about the burden of RA and its trends in … global burden of RA by sex,
age, region, and forecast for 2030. Method: Publicly available data from the Global Burden of …

Estimation of the global prevalence of dementia in 2019 and forecasted prevalence in 2050: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

E Nichols, JD Steinmetz, SE Vollset… - The Lancet Public …, 2022 - thelancet.com
… This study aimed to improve on previous forecasts of dementia prevalence by producing
country-level estimates and incorporating information on selected risk factors. …

[HTML][HTML] … , and mortality of HIV, 1980–2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries …

TD Frank, A Carter, D Jahagirdar, MH Biehl… - The lancet HIV, 2019 - thelancet.com
Background Understanding the patterns of HIV/AIDS epidemics is crucial to tracking and
monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts in countries. We provide a …

[PDF][PDF] Disease burden in Norway in 2050: A forecasting analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study

AK Knudsen, G Sulo, ST Klitkou… - European Journal of …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
… this analysis was to forecast the disease burden in Norway up to 2050. The analyses were …
life expectancy and disease burden by 21 disease groups from the Global Burden of Disease …