Direct incorporation of expert opinion into parametric survival models to inform survival extrapolation

P Cooney, A White - Medical Decision Making, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
… a constant hazard, to spline models that can … parametric survival models commonly
used in decision making, evaluate model fit based on goodness of fit to both data and expert

A hierarchical Bayesian approach for incorporating expert opinions into parametric survival models: A case study of female Ixodes ricinus ticks exposed to various …

P Wongnak, S Bord, S Donnet, T Hoch, F Beugnet… - … Modelling, 2022 - Elsevier
… However, making a statistical inference and formulating a predictive model for mortality …
This study proposed an expert opinion elicitation framework that integrates expert opinions as …

[HTML][HTML] A guide to selecting flexible survival models to inform economic evaluations of cancer immunotherapies

S Palmer, I Borget, T Friede, D Husereau, J Karnon… - Value in Health, 2023 - Elsevier
parametric survival models can lack the flexibility to capture the shape of the underlying
hazard … Clinical expert opinion should be sought before any model fitting to elicit beliefs on the …

Extrapolating parametric survival models in health technology assessment: a simulation study

D Gallacher, P Kimani, N Stallard - Medical Decision Making, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
… restricted mean survival time (RMST) from 8 parametric models and contrast models preferred
… While expert opinion from clinicians and experienced analysts may offer valuable insight …

The role of expert opinion in projecting long-term survival outcomes beyond the horizon of a clinical trial

BJA Willigers, M Ouwens, A Briggs, HJL Heerspink… - Advances in …, 2023 - Springer
… This variability introduces uncertainty into the survival projections and expert opinion is
often sought on which parametric frequentist survival model is the most realistic. Health …

Structured expert elicitation to inform long-term survival extrapolations using alternative parametric distributions: a case study of CAR T therapy for relapsed/refractory …

D Ayers, S Cope, K Towle, A Mojebi, T Marshall… - BMC Medical Research …, 2022 - Springer
… We have formally elicited the opinions of subject-matter experts and incorporated those
beliefs into parametric survival models. Expert opinion has the benefit of being relevant to the …

Survival analysis for economic evaluations alongside clinical trials—extrapolation with patient-level data: inconsistencies, limitations, and a practical guide

NR Latimer - Medical Decision Making, 2013 - journals.sagepub.com
… presented a similar review of the use of parametric survival modeling in CEAs, using 1
cancer-related case study. They discussed the use of standard parametric models and the fitting …

Utilizing Expert Opinion to inform Extrapolation of Survival Models

P Cooney, A White - arXiv preprint arXiv:2112.02288, 2021 - arxiv.org
… See Table 2 for a full list of the survival models under consideration in this paper. … is to
present the results using six commonly used parametric survival models along with the flexible …

Survival models in health economic evaluations: balancing fit and parsimony to improve prediction

CH Jackson, LD Sharples… - The international journal of …, 2010 - degruyter.com
… We determine that one flexible parametric survival model fits substantially better than the …
survival modelling. In this paper, we show how parametric and semiparametric survival models

Bayesian survival analysis in clinical trials: What methods are used in practice?

C Brard, G Le Teuff, MC Le Deley… - Clinical Trials, 2017 - journals.sagepub.com
… The objective of this article was to critically review the use … a survival regression model with
the baseline hazard function … fitted a semi-parametric survival model, but the model used to …