Dynamic prediction modeling approaches for cardiac surgery

GL Hickey, SW Grant, C Caiado, S Kendall… - … Quality and Outcomes, 2013 - Am Heart Assoc
Background—The calibration of several cardiac clinical prediction models has deteriorated
over time. We compare different model fitting approaches for in-hospital mortality after …

Improved prediction by dynamic modeling: an exploratory study in the adult cardiac surgery database of the Netherlands association for cardio-thoracic surgery

S Siregar, D Nieboer, Y Vergouwe… - … Quality and Outcomes, 2016 - Am Heart Assoc
Background—The predictive performance of static risk prediction models such as
EuroSCORE deteriorates over time. We aimed to explore different methods for continuous …

National administrative data produces an accurate and stable risk prediction model for short-term and 1-year mortality following cardiac surgery

D Aktuerk, D McNulty, D Ray, I Begaj, N Howell… - International journal of …, 2016 - Elsevier
Objectives Various risk models exist to predict short-term risk-adjusted outcomes after
cardiac surgery. Statistical models constructed using clinical registry data usually perform …

Cardiac surgery risk modeling for mortality: a review of current practice and suggestions for improvement

RZ Omar, G Ambler, P Royston, J Eliahoo… - The Annals of thoracic …, 2004 - Elsevier
Risk models play a vital role in monitoring health care performances. Despite extensive
research and widespread use of risk models in cardiac surgery, there are methodologic …

Methods for updating a risk prediction model for cardiac surgery: a statistical primer

S Siregar, D Nieboer, MIM Versteegh… - … and thoracic surgery, 2019 - academic.oup.com
Risk prediction models in cardiac surgery tend to lose their predictive performance over
time. This statistical primer aims to provide an overview of updating methods with their …

A preoperative risk prediction model for 30-day mortality following cardiac surgery in an Australian cohort

B Billah, CM Reid, GC Shardey… - European Journal of …, 2010 - academic.oup.com
Background: Population-specific risk models are required to build consumer and provider
confidence in clinical service delivery, particularly when the risks may be life-threatening …

Cardiac surgical mortality: comparison among different additive risk-scoring models in a multicenter sample

JMV Pons, JA Espinas, JM Borras, V Moreno… - Archives of …, 1998 - jamanetwork.com
Objective To compare the performance of several risk-scoring models to predict surgical
mortality following open heart surgery. Design A prospective observational study. Setting …

Systematic review and meta-analysis of mortality risk prediction models in adult cardiac surgery

S Sinha, A Dimagli, L Dixon, M Gaudino… - Interactive …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
OBJECTIVES The most used mortality risk prediction models in cardiac surgery are the
European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (ES) and Society of Thoracic …

Mortality risk prediction in cardiac surgery: comparing a novel model with the EuroSCORE

KS Berg, R Stenseth, H Pleym… - Acta …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Background: Several models for prediction of early mortality after open‐heart surgery have
been developed. Our objectives were to develop a local mortality risk prediction model …

Dynamic trends in cardiac surgery: why the logistic EuroSCORE is no longer suitable for contemporary cardiac surgery and implications for future risk models

GL Hickey, SW Grant, GJ Murphy… - European Journal of …, 2013 - academic.oup.com
OBJECTIVES Progressive loss of calibration of the original EuroSCORE models has
necessitated the introduction of the EuroSCORE II model. Poor model calibration has …