Debt dilution and sovereign default risk

JC Hatchondo, L Martinez… - Journal of Political …, 2016 - journals.uchicago.edu
We measure the effects of debt dilution on sovereign default risk and study debt covenants
that could mitigate these effects. We calibrate a baseline model with endogenous debt …

History remembered: Optimal sovereign default on domestic and external debt

P D'Erasmo, EG Mendoza - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Infrequent but turbulent sovereign defaults on domestic creditors were a “forgotten history” in
macroeconomics. We propose a Bewley model in which the government chooses debt and …

Sovereign default risk premia, fiscal limits, and fiscal policy

H Bi - European Economic Review, 2012 - Elsevier
We develop a closed economy model to study the interactions among sovereign risk premia,
fiscal limits, and fiscal policy. The fiscal limits, which measure the government's ability to …

Sovereign debt as a contingent claim: a quantitative approach

L Alfaro, F Kanczuk - Journal of International Economics, 2005 - Elsevier
We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to
quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by …

Fiscal rules and the sovereign default premium

JC Hatchondo, L Martinez, F Roch - American Economic Journal …, 2022 - aeaweb.org
We study fiscal rules using a sovereign default model. A debt-brake (spread-brake) rule
imposes a ceiling on the fiscal deficit when the sovereign debt (spread) is above a threshold …

Sovereign default risk and uncertainty premia

D Pouzo, I Presno - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2016 - aeaweb.org
This paper studies how international investors' concerns about model misspecification affect
sovereign bond spreads. We develop a general equilibrium model of sovereign debt with …

Debt maturity without commitment

D Niepelt - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2014 - Elsevier
How does sovereign risk shape the maturity structure of public debt? We consider a
government that balances benefits of default, due to tax savings, and costs, due to output …

Fiscal fatigue, fiscal space and debt sustainability in advanced economies

AR Ghosh, JI Kim, EG Mendoza, JD Ostry… - The Economic …, 2013 - academic.oup.com
How high can public debt rise without compromising fiscal solvency? We answer this
question using a stochastic model of sovereign default in which risk‐neutral investors lend to …

The political economy of sovereign defaults

E Andreasen, G Sandleris, A Van der Ghote - Journal of Monetary …, 2019 - Elsevier
How do income distribution and the tax system affect sovereign borrowing and default
decisions? Are these effects shaped by the political constraints that governments face when …

Sovereign default, domestic banks, and financial institutions

N Gennaioli, A Martin, S Rossi - The Journal of Finance, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
We present a model of sovereign debt in which, contrary to conventional wisdom,
government defaults are costly because they destroy the balance sheets of domestic banks …