Debt dilution and sovereign default risk
JC Hatchondo, L Martinez… - Journal of Political …, 2016 - journals.uchicago.edu
We measure the effects of debt dilution on sovereign default risk and study debt covenants
that could mitigate these effects. We calibrate a baseline model with endogenous debt …
that could mitigate these effects. We calibrate a baseline model with endogenous debt …
History remembered: Optimal sovereign default on domestic and external debt
P D'Erasmo, EG Mendoza - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Infrequent but turbulent sovereign defaults on domestic creditors were a “forgotten history” in
macroeconomics. We propose a Bewley model in which the government chooses debt and …
macroeconomics. We propose a Bewley model in which the government chooses debt and …
Sovereign default risk premia, fiscal limits, and fiscal policy
H Bi - European Economic Review, 2012 - Elsevier
We develop a closed economy model to study the interactions among sovereign risk premia,
fiscal limits, and fiscal policy. The fiscal limits, which measure the government's ability to …
fiscal limits, and fiscal policy. The fiscal limits, which measure the government's ability to …
Sovereign debt as a contingent claim: a quantitative approach
L Alfaro, F Kanczuk - Journal of International Economics, 2005 - Elsevier
We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to
quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by …
quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by …
Fiscal rules and the sovereign default premium
We study fiscal rules using a sovereign default model. A debt-brake (spread-brake) rule
imposes a ceiling on the fiscal deficit when the sovereign debt (spread) is above a threshold …
imposes a ceiling on the fiscal deficit when the sovereign debt (spread) is above a threshold …
Sovereign default risk and uncertainty premia
D Pouzo, I Presno - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2016 - aeaweb.org
This paper studies how international investors' concerns about model misspecification affect
sovereign bond spreads. We develop a general equilibrium model of sovereign debt with …
sovereign bond spreads. We develop a general equilibrium model of sovereign debt with …
Debt maturity without commitment
D Niepelt - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2014 - Elsevier
How does sovereign risk shape the maturity structure of public debt? We consider a
government that balances benefits of default, due to tax savings, and costs, due to output …
government that balances benefits of default, due to tax savings, and costs, due to output …
Fiscal fatigue, fiscal space and debt sustainability in advanced economies
AR Ghosh, JI Kim, EG Mendoza, JD Ostry… - The Economic …, 2013 - academic.oup.com
How high can public debt rise without compromising fiscal solvency? We answer this
question using a stochastic model of sovereign default in which risk‐neutral investors lend to …
question using a stochastic model of sovereign default in which risk‐neutral investors lend to …
The political economy of sovereign defaults
How do income distribution and the tax system affect sovereign borrowing and default
decisions? Are these effects shaped by the political constraints that governments face when …
decisions? Are these effects shaped by the political constraints that governments face when …
Sovereign default, domestic banks, and financial institutions
We present a model of sovereign debt in which, contrary to conventional wisdom,
government defaults are costly because they destroy the balance sheets of domestic banks …
government defaults are costly because they destroy the balance sheets of domestic banks …