Expected value of sample information calculations in medical decision modeling
AE Ades, G Lu, K Claxton - Medical decision making, 2004 - journals.sagepub.com
There has been an increasing interest in using expected value of information (EVI) theory in
medical decision making, to identify the need for further research to reduce uncertainty in …
medical decision making, to identify the need for further research to reduce uncertainty in …
Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation of a multiparameter decision model: consistency of evidence and the accurate assessment of uncertainty
AE Ades, S Cliffe - Medical Decision Making, 2002 - journals.sagepub.com
Decision models are usually populated 1 parameter at a time, with 1 item of information
informing each parameter. Often, however, data may not be available on the parameters …
informing each parameter. Often, however, data may not be available on the parameters …
Calculating partial expected value of perfect information via Monte Carlo sampling algorithms
Partial expected value of perfect information (EVPI) calculations can quantify the value of
learning about particular subsets of uncertain parameters in decision models. Published …
learning about particular subsets of uncertain parameters in decision models. Published …
Estimating the expected value of sample information using the probabilistic sensitivity analysis sample: a fast, nonparametric regression-based method
Health economic decision-analytic models are used to estimate the expected net benefits of
competing decision options. The true values of the input parameters of such models are …
competing decision options. The true values of the input parameters of such models are …
Extrapolating survival from randomized trials using external data: a review of methods
This article describes methods used to estimate parameters governing long-term survival, or
times to other events, for health economic models. Specifically, the focus is on methods that …
times to other events, for health economic models. Specifically, the focus is on methods that …
Representing both first-and second-order uncertainties by Monte Carlo simulation for groups of patients
EF Halpern, MC Weinstein… - Medical Decision …, 2000 - journals.sagepub.com
Actual implementation of probabilistic sensitivity analysis may lead to misleading or
improper conclusions when it is applied to groups of patients rather than individual patients …
improper conclusions when it is applied to groups of patients rather than individual patients …
Value of information analysis in models to inform health policy
Value of information (VoI) is a decision-theoretic approach to estimating the expected
benefits from collecting further information of different kinds, in scientific problems based on …
benefits from collecting further information of different kinds, in scientific problems based on …
The interpretation of random-effects meta-analysis in decision models
AE Ades, G Lu, JPT Higgins - Medical Decision Making, 2005 - journals.sagepub.com
This article shows that the interpretation of the random-effects models used in meta-analysis
to summarize heterogeneous treatment effects can have a marked effect on the results from …
to summarize heterogeneous treatment effects can have a marked effect on the results from …
Multiparameter evidence synthesis in epidemiology and medical decision-making: current approaches
AE Ades, AJ Sutton - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society …, 2006 - academic.oup.com
Alongside the development of meta-analysis as a tool for summarizing research literature,
there is renewed interest in broader forms of quantitative synthesis that are aimed at …
there is renewed interest in broader forms of quantitative synthesis that are aimed at …
Bayesian approaches to multiple sources of evidence and uncertainty in complex cost‐effectiveness modelling
DJ Spiegelhalter, NG Best - Statistics in medicine, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Increasingly complex models are being used to evaluate the cost‐effectiveness of medical
interventions. We describe the multiple sources of uncertainty that are relevant to such …
interventions. We describe the multiple sources of uncertainty that are relevant to such …