Expected value of sample information calculations in medical decision modeling

AE Ades, G Lu, K Claxton - Medical decision making, 2004 - journals.sagepub.com
There has been an increasing interest in using expected value of information (EVI) theory in
medical decision making, to identify the need for further research to reduce uncertainty in …

Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation of a multiparameter decision model: consistency of evidence and the accurate assessment of uncertainty

AE Ades, S Cliffe - Medical Decision Making, 2002 - journals.sagepub.com
Decision models are usually populated 1 parameter at a time, with 1 item of information
informing each parameter. Often, however, data may not be available on the parameters …

Calculating partial expected value of perfect information via Monte Carlo sampling algorithms

A Brennan, S Kharroubi, A O'hagan… - Medical Decision …, 2007 - journals.sagepub.com
Partial expected value of perfect information (EVPI) calculations can quantify the value of
learning about particular subsets of uncertain parameters in decision models. Published …

Estimating the expected value of sample information using the probabilistic sensitivity analysis sample: a fast, nonparametric regression-based method

M Strong, JE Oakley, A Brennan… - Medical Decision …, 2015 - journals.sagepub.com
Health economic decision-analytic models are used to estimate the expected net benefits of
competing decision options. The true values of the input parameters of such models are …

Extrapolating survival from randomized trials using external data: a review of methods

C Jackson, J Stevens, S Ren, N Latimer… - Medical decision …, 2017 - journals.sagepub.com
This article describes methods used to estimate parameters governing long-term survival, or
times to other events, for health economic models. Specifically, the focus is on methods that …

Representing both first-and second-order uncertainties by Monte Carlo simulation for groups of patients

EF Halpern, MC Weinstein… - Medical Decision …, 2000 - journals.sagepub.com
Actual implementation of probabilistic sensitivity analysis may lead to misleading or
improper conclusions when it is applied to groups of patients rather than individual patients …

Value of information analysis in models to inform health policy

CH Jackson, G Baio, A Heath, M Strong… - Annual review of …, 2022 - annualreviews.org
Value of information (VoI) is a decision-theoretic approach to estimating the expected
benefits from collecting further information of different kinds, in scientific problems based on …

The interpretation of random-effects meta-analysis in decision models

AE Ades, G Lu, JPT Higgins - Medical Decision Making, 2005 - journals.sagepub.com
This article shows that the interpretation of the random-effects models used in meta-analysis
to summarize heterogeneous treatment effects can have a marked effect on the results from …

Multiparameter evidence synthesis in epidemiology and medical decision-making: current approaches

AE Ades, AJ Sutton - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society …, 2006 - academic.oup.com
Alongside the development of meta-analysis as a tool for summarizing research literature,
there is renewed interest in broader forms of quantitative synthesis that are aimed at …

Bayesian approaches to multiple sources of evidence and uncertainty in complex cost‐effectiveness modelling

DJ Spiegelhalter, NG Best - Statistics in medicine, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Increasingly complex models are being used to evaluate the cost‐effectiveness of medical
interventions. We describe the multiple sources of uncertainty that are relevant to such …