[HTML][HTML] Escalator to extinction

MC Urban - Proceedings of the National Academy of …, 2018 - National Acad Sciences
Thirty years ago, biologists began to predict how climate change would alter species'
ranges, extinctions, and their roles in ecosystems (1). Since then, evidence has begun to …

[引用][C] Looking forward from the past: history, ecology, and conservation

ST Jackson - Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
Environmental scientists are increasingly concerned not only with explaining the present,
but with antici-pating the future. An understanding of the past is vital to both concerns …

What is natural? The need for a long-term perspective in biodiversity conservation

KJ Willis, HJB Birks - science, 2006 - science.org
Ecosystems change in response to factors such as climate variability, invasions, and
wildfires. Most records used to assess such change are based on short-term ecological data …

Historical ecology: using unconventional data sources to test for effects of global environmental change

M Vellend, CD Brown, HM Kharouba… - American Journal of …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Predicting the future ecological impact of global change drivers requires understanding how
these same drivers have acted in the past to produce the plant populations and communities …

Advances in global change research require open science by individual researchers

EM Wolkovich, J Regetz, MI O'Connor - Global Change Biology, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
Understanding how species and ecosystems respond to climate change requires spatially
and temporally rich data for a diverse set of species and habitats, combined with models that …

The promise and the perils of resurveying to understand global change impacts

KL Stuble, S Bewick, M Fisher, ML Forister… - Ecological …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Historical data sets can be useful tools to aid in understanding the impacts of global change
on natural ecosystems. Resampling of historically sampled sites (“snapshot resampling”) …

[图书][B] The geological record of ecological dynamics: understanding the biotic effects of future environmental change

National Research Council, Division on Earth… - 2005 - books.google.com
In order to answer important questions about ecosystems and biodiversity, scientists can
look to the past geological recordâ€" which includes fossils, sediment and ice cores, and …

Climate change causes upslope shifts and mountaintop extirpations in a tropical bird community

BG Freeman, MN Scholer… - Proceedings of the …, 2018 - National Acad Sciences
Montane species worldwide are shifting upslope in response to recent temperature
increases. These upslope shifts are predicted to lead to mountaintop extinctions of species …

The challenge of measuring global change in wild nature: are things getting better or worse?

M Jenkins, RE Green, J Madden - Conservation Biology, 2003 - JSTOR
The Ministerial Declaration made at the World Summit on Sustainable De-velopment in
Johannesburg agreed to protection and restoration of the integrity of our planet's ecological …

Thresholds for ecological responses to global change do not emerge from empirical data

H Hillebrand, I Donohue, WS Harpole… - Nature Ecology & …, 2020 - nature.com
To understand ecosystem responses to anthropogenic global change, a prevailing
framework is the definition of threshold levels of pressure, above which response …