[HTML][HTML] Role of fluctuations in epidemic resurgence after a lockdown

I Neri, L Gammaitoni - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
Most popular statistical models in epidemic evolution focus on the dynamics of average
relevant quantities and overlooks the role of small fluctuations on the model parameters …

Emerging polynomial growth trends in COVID-19 pandemic data and their reconciliation with compartment based models

K Bodova, R Kollar - arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.06933, 2020 - arxiv.org
We study the reported data from the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak in January-May 2020 in
119 countries. We observe that the time series of active cases in individual countries (the …

Parametric analysis of early data on COVID-19 expansion in selected European countries

M Spousta - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
We analyze the early data on COVID-19 expansion in selected European countries using an
analytical parametric model. A description of the time dependence of the disease expansion …

[HTML][HTML] Power-law growth of the COVID-19 fatality incidents in Europe

DG Xenikos, A Asimakopoulos - Infectious Disease Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
We report on the dynamic scaling of the diffusion growth phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in
Europe. During this initial diffusion stage, the European countries implemented …

Finite-size behavior in phase transitions and scaling in the progress of an epidemic

SK Das - arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.15178, 2023 - arxiv.org
Analytical descriptions of patterns concerning spread and fatality during an epidemic,
covering natural as well as restriction periods, are important for reducing damage. We …

Growth Functions as a tool to model SARS-CoV-2 pandemic trajectory and related-deaths worldwide

V Fonseca, E Mascarenhas, P Ramos, L Coelho… - medRxiv, 2021 - medrxiv.org
The international scientific community from different areas of knowledge has made efforts to
provide information and methods that contribute to the adoption of the most appropriate …

How relevant is the decision of containment measures against COVID-19 applied ahead of time?

EL Brugnago, RM da Silva, C Manchein… - Chaos, Solitons & …, 2020 - Elsevier
The cumulative number of confirmed infected individuals by the new coronavirus outbreak
until April 30th, 2020, is presented for the countries: Belgium, Brazil, United Kingdom (UK) …

Emerging algebraic growth trends in SARS-CoV-2 pandemic data

K Bod'ová, R Kollár - Physical Biology, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
We study the reported data from the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic outbreak in January–May 2020
in 119 countries. We observe that the time series of active cases in individual countries (the …

[HTML][HTML] Modelling fatality curves of COVID-19 and the effectiveness of intervention strategies

GL Vasconcelos, AMS Macêdo, R Ospina… - PeerJ, 2020 - peerj.com
The main objective of the present article is twofold: first, to model the fatality curves of the
COVID-19 disease, as represented by the cumulative number of deaths as a function of time; …

Scaling features in the spreading of COVID-19

M Li, J Chen, Y Deng - arXiv preprint arXiv:2002.09199, 2020 - arxiv.org
Since the outbreak of COVID-19, many data analyses have been done. Some of them are
based on the classical epidemiological approach that assumes an exponential growth, but a …