[HTML][HTML] Public health impact of the US Scenario Modeling Hub
Beginning in December 2020, the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub has provided
quantitative scenario-based projections for cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, aggregated …
quantitative scenario-based projections for cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, aggregated …
[HTML][HTML] The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: delivering long-term projections to guide policy
Abstract Between December 2020 and April 2023, the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub
(SMH) generated operational multi-month projections of COVID-19 burden in the US to …
(SMH) generated operational multi-month projections of COVID-19 burden in the US to …
[HTML][HTML] A scenario modeling pipeline for COVID-19 emergency planning
Abstract Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused strain on health systems
worldwide due to its high mortality rate and the large portion of cases requiring critical care …
worldwide due to its high mortality rate and the large portion of cases requiring critical care …
[HTML][HTML] Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty. An evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub
Our ability to forecast epidemics more than a few weeks into the future is constrained by the
complexity of disease systems, our limited ability to measure the current state of an …
complexity of disease systems, our limited ability to measure the current state of an …
[HTML][HTML] Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty
Our ability to forecast epidemics far into the future is constrained by the many complexities of
disease systems. Realistic longer-term projections may, however, be possible under well …
disease systems. Realistic longer-term projections may, however, be possible under well …
[HTML][HTML] When do we need multiple infectious disease models? Agreement between projection rank and magnitude in a multi-model setting
E Howerton, WJM Probert, MC Runge, C Viboud… - Epidemics, 2024 - Elsevier
Mathematical models are useful for public health planning and response to infectious
disease threats. However, different models can provide differing results, which can hamper …
disease threats. However, different models can provide differing results, which can hamper …
[HTML][HTML] Scenario Design for Infectious Disease Projections: Integrating Concepts from Decision Analysis and Experimental Design
Across many fields, scenario modeling has become an important tool for exploring long-term
projections and how they might depend on potential interventions and critical uncertainties …
projections and how they might depend on potential interventions and critical uncertainties …
[HTML][HTML] Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: lessons from the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub
Background Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to cause significant
hospitalizations and deaths in the United States. Its continued burden and the impact of …
hospitalizations and deaths in the United States. Its continued burden and the impact of …
[HTML][HTML] An evaluation of prospective COVID-19 modelling studies in the USA: from data to science translation
Infectious disease modelling can serve as a powerful tool for situational awareness and
decision support for policy makers. However, COVID-19 modelling efforts faced many …
decision support for policy makers. However, COVID-19 modelling efforts faced many …
Collaborative hubs: making the most of predictive epidemic modeling
The COVID-19 pandemic has made it clear that epidemic models play an important role in
how governments and the public respond to infectious disease crises. Early in the …
how governments and the public respond to infectious disease crises. Early in the …