For decades, intelligence and public health officials warned that the world was overdue for a
pandemic, especially one involving an influenza-like illness. What was relatively …

An in-depth analysis of why COVID-19 warnings failed and how to avert the next disaster
Epidemiologists and national security agencies warned for years about the potential for a …

There are various dimensions of the COVID-19 warning problem. For example, how did the
scientific, intelligence, and strategic studies communities issue accurate diffuse warnings of …

This article argues that the coronavirus pandemic represents a global intelligence failure on
the part of the traditional intelligence community as well as the national and international …

This paper introduces a crucial parameter to the novel coronavirus response in the United
States, by shedding light on the early-warning role of intelligence agencies. It argues that the …

With COVID-19 global deaths surpassing a million lives as of late-September 2020, there
are compelling reasons to examine the epidemic warning process and how public health …

The emergence of COVID-19 was not a surprise. For years, public health experts had
warned of a deadly global pandemic that could have profound impacts on our economies …

As the authors explain, the book's objective is to discuss “the development of the strategic
warning function, outline the capabilities of important warning analytic methods, explain why …

The American national security establishment is routinely criticized for" intelligence failures."
The United States didn't predict the fall of the shah of Iran, stop 9/11, or determine that …

This new and final edition is a follow-up to the author's first book, Anticipating Surprise
(University Press of America, 2002) and the Handbook of Warning Intelligence (Scarecrow …