Oil prices and the global economy: Is it different this time around?

K Mohaddes, MH Pesaran - Energy Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that
lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly …

[PDF][PDF] An econometric analysis of oil price movements: the role of political events and economic news, financial trading, and market fundamentals

K King, A Deng, D Metz - Bates White Economic Consulting, 2012 - bateswhite.com
Between 1986 and 2003, the annual average real price of crude oil remained below $41 per
barrel. 1 Between 2003 and 2008, however, oil prices increased by 23% on an average …

Linkages between oil price shocks and stock returns revisited

FD Tchatoka, V Masson, S Parry - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
In this paper, we revisit the debate on the relationship between oil price shocks and stock
market returns by replicating the quantile-on-quantile (QQ) regression model for the US …

Oil price shocks and European industries

B Scholtens, C Yurtsever - Energy Economics, 2012 - Elsevier
We investigate the impact of oil price shocks at the industry level in the Euro area for the
period 1983–2007. We use different oil price specifications and use dynamic VAR models …

[PDF][PDF] Oil and stocks: Is it war risk?

G Bittlingmayer - University of Kansas manuscript, 2005 - Citeseer
Why do higher crude oil prices depress stocks? Oil price shocks appear to cause output
declines, but the magnitude and mechanism that link oil prices and output remain …

Oil price elasticities and oil price fluctuations

D Caldara, M Cavallo, M Iacoviello - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Studies identifying oil shocks using structural vector autoregressions (VARs) reach different
conclusions on the relative importance of supply and demand factors in explaining oil …

Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production

W Kang, RA Ratti, JL Vespignani - Energy Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
Important interaction has been established for US economic policy uncertainty with a
number of economic and financial variables including oil prices. This paper examines the …

Identifying oil price shocks and their consequences: the role of expectations in the crude oil market

T Fueki, J Nakajima, S Ohyama… - International …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
This paper proposes a simple but comprehensive structural vector autoregressive model to
examine the underlying factors of oil price dynamics. The distinguishing feature is to …

Large oil shocks and the US economy: Infrequent incidents with large effects

M Gronwald - The Energy Journal, 2008 - journals.sagepub.com
This paper considers the macroeconomics of the oil price for the United States. It
investigates the impact of large oil price hikes in a standard VAR framework by introducing a …

Asymmetric oil shocks and external balances of major oil exporting and importing countries

S Rafiq, P Sgro, N Apergis - Energy Economics, 2016 - Elsevier
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on three measures of oil exporters' and
oil importers' external balances: total trade balance, oil trade balance and non-oil trade …