Gas turbines and uncertainty quantification: Impact of PDF tails on UQ predictions, the Black Swan

F Montomoli, M Massini - … Expo: Power for …, 2013 - asmedigitalcollection.asme.org
In the last five years Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) techniques became popular to predict
gas turbine performances. Taking into account the uncertainties in the input parameters it is …

Uncertainty quantification applied to gas turbine components

F Montomoli, M Massini - … in computational fluid dynamics and aircraft …, 2019 - Springer
The previous chapters analyzed the level of uncertainty in different gas turbine components,
how this affects the performance such as life and fuel consumption, and the numerical …

Uncertainty quantification in internal flows

R Nigro, D Wunsch, G Coussement… - 55th AIAA Aerospace …, 2017 - arc.aiaa.org
HE interest industry and academia for uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques has
increased over the last few years, and in particular for internal flows ([2],[8],[15]). In contrast …

A Probabilistic Approach to Turbine Uncertainty

L Bhatnagar, G Paniagua… - … Expo: Power for …, 2023 - asmedigitalcollection.asme.org
Efficiency is an essential metric for assessing turbine performance. Modern turbines rely
heavily on numerical computational fluid dynamic (CFD) tools for design improvement. With …

Uncertainty quantification: A stochastic method for heat transfer prediction using LES

M Carnevale, F Montomoli… - Journal of …, 2013 - asmedigitalcollection.asme.org
In computational fluid dynamics (CFD), it is possible to identify namely two uncertainties:
epistemic, related to the turbulence model, and aleatoric, representing the random-unknown …

Effect of manufacturing variability on turbine engine performance: a probabilistic study

M Gorelik, J Obayomi, J Slovisky… - … Expo: Power for …, 2013 - asmedigitalcollection.asme.org
While turbine engine Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) accumulated significant
experience in the application of probabilistic methods (PM) and uncertainty quantification …

Calibration and uncertainty quantification of gas turbine performance models

MA Chao, DS Lilley, P Mathé… - … Expo: Power for …, 2015 - asmedigitalcollection.asme.org
Calibration and uncertainty quantification for gas turbine (GT) performance models is a key
activity for GT manufacturers. The adjustment between the numerical model and measured …

Comparative analysis of methodologies for uncertainty propagation and quantification

A Cuneo, A Traverso… - … Expo: Power for …, 2017 - asmedigitalcollection.asme.org
In engineering design, uncertainty is inevitable and can cause a significant deviation in the
performance of a system. Uncertainty in input parameters can be categorized into two …

Impact of epistemic uncertainty on performance parameters of compressor blades

A Prots, L Schlüter, M Voigt… - … Expo: Power for …, 2022 - asmedigitalcollection.asme.org
An well-established tool for probabilistic analysis is the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS),
which can be used to gain insight into an unknown system behavior. The variability of the …

Uncertainty quantification methodologies applied to the rotor tip clearance effect in a twin scroll radial turbine

C Cravero, A Ottonello - Fluids, 2020 - mdpi.com
In the last three decades computer simulation tools have achieved wide spread use in the
design and analysis of engineering devices. This has shortened the overall product design …