Robustness and bias of European excess death estimates in 2020 under varying model specifications

J Schöley - MedRxiv, 2021 - medrxiv.org
Various procedures are in use to calculate excess deaths during the ongoing COVID-19
pandemic. Using weekly death counts from 20 European countries, we evaluate the …

Flaws and uncertainties in pandemic global excess death calculations

JPA Ioannidis, F Zonta, M Levitt - European journal of clinical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Several teams have been publishing global estimates of excess deaths during the COVID‐
19 pandemic. Here, we examine potential flaws and underappreciated sources of …

Estimates of excess mortality for the five Nordic countries during the COVID-19 pandemic 2020− 2021

KP Kepp, J Björk, V Kontis, RM Parks… - International Journal …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Background Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic is of major scientific and
political interest. Methods We critically reviewed different estimates of all-cause excess …

Comparison of pandemic excess mortality in 2020–2021 across different empirical calculations

M Levitt, F Zonta, JPA Ioannidis - Environmental research, 2022 - Elsevier
Different modeling approaches can be used to calculate excess deaths for the COVID-19
pandemic period. We compared 6 calculations of excess deaths (4 previously published [3 …

Excess death estimates from multiverse analysis in 2009–2021

M Levitt, F Zonta, JPA Ioannidis - European Journal of Epidemiology, 2023 - Springer
Excess death estimates have great value in public health, but they can be sensitive to
analytical choices. Here we propose a multiverse analysis approach that considers all …

Estimates of excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic strongly depend on subjective methodological choices

B Kowall, A Stang - Herz, 2023 - Springer
Excess mortality is often used to assess the health impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. It
involves comparing the number of deaths observed during the pandemic with the number of …

[HTML][HTML] What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 …

VM Shkolnikov, I Klimkin, M McKee, DA Jdanov… - SSM-population …, 2022 - Elsevier
Excess mortality has been used to measure the impact of COVID-19 over time and across
countries. But what baseline should be chosen? We propose two novel approaches: an …

Sensitivity analysis of excess mortality due to the COVID‐19 pandemic

MR Nepomuceno, I Klimkin, DA Jdanov… - Population and …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Estimating excess mortality is challenging. The metric depends on the expected mortality
level, which can differ based on given choices, such as the method and the time series …

[HTML][HTML] Excess mortality due to Covid-19? A comparison of total mortality in 2020 with total mortality in 2016 to 2019 in Germany, Sweden and Spain

B Kowall, F Standl, F Oesterling, B Brune, M Brinkmann… - Plos one, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Introduction Excess mortality is a suitable indicator of health consequences of COVID-19
because death from any cause is clearly defined contrary to death from Covid-19. We …

Excess deaths in the United States during the first year of COVID-19

CJ Ruhm - Preventive Medicine, 2022 - Elsevier
Accurately determining the number of excess deaths caused by the COVID-19 pandemic is
hard. The most important challenge is determining the counterfactual count of baseline …