Assessing species climatic requirements beyond the realized niche: some lessons mainly from tree species distribution modelling

TH Booth - Climatic Change, 2017 - Springer
Almost all climate change studies of plants and animals adopt an 'equilibrium
assumption'that analyses of natural distributions provide reliable estimates of species …

Species distribution modelling tools and databases to assist managing forests under climate change

TH Booth - Forest Ecology and Management, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper examines progress made with species distribution modelling (SDM) for trees
under climate change. Following brief background information, the main focus is on …

Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe

L Maiorano, R Cheddadi… - Global Ecology and …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
ABSTRACT Aim Species distribution models (SDMs) based on current species ranges
underestimate the potential distribution when projected in time and/or space. A multi …

Species distribution models predict temporal but not spatial variation in forest growth

E van der Maaten, A Hamann… - Ecology and …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Bioclimate envelope models have been widely used to illustrate the discrepancy between
current species distributions and their potential habitat under climate change. However, the …

Estimating potential range and hence climatic adaptability in selected tree species

TH Booth - Forest Ecology and Management, 2016 - Elsevier
Estimating climatic conditions within the potential range of different species is important, as it
can assist evaluating their ability to tolerate climate change. Potential range was analysed …

Combining static and dynamic variables in species distribution models under climate change

JC Stanton, RG Pearson, N Horning… - Methods in Ecology …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
Methods used to predict shifts in species' ranges because of climate change commonly
involve species distribution (niche) modelling using climatic variables, future values of which …

Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful?

RG Pearson, TP Dawson - Global ecology and biogeography, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Modelling strategies for predicting the potential impacts of climate change on the natural
distribution of species have often focused on the characterization of a species' bioclimate …

Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: how fine scale do climate projections need to be?

J Franklin, FW Davis, M Ikegami… - Global change …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Recent studies suggest that species distribution models (SDM s) based on fine‐scale
climate data may provide markedly different estimates of climate‐change impacts than …

Alternative tree species under climate warming in managed European forests

EA Thurm, L Hernandez, A Baltensweiler… - Forest Ecology and …, 2018 - Elsevier
This study estimates the present and future distribution potential of 12 thermophilic and rare
tree species for Europe based on climate-soil sensitive species distribution models (SDMs) …

Climate envelope analyses suggests significant rearrangements in the distribution ranges of Central European tree species

G Illés, N Móricz - Annals of Forest Science, 2022 - Springer
Key message Climate envelope analysis of nine tree species shows that Fagus sylvatica L.
and Picea abies H. Karst could lose 58% and 40% of their current distribution range …