Demographers study population dynamics: changes in population size and structure
resulting from fertility (reproduction), mortality (deaths), and spatial and social mobility. The …

This paper develops a stock adjustment model relating total expected births to conventional
aggregate fertility rates for married women over 25. Each year, cohorts bear about 20 …

Knodel's (1987) article is one of a number of recent studies to address more precisely the
behavioral changes that accompanied historical fertility declines. One of the central …

Model fertility schedules based on the proportions married and the age pattern of marital
fertility are unsatisfactory to the extent that marital fertility does not depend on age alone but …

A dynamic deterministic model of the reproductive process is presented. The model
describes and analyses the effect of intermediate fertility variables on fertility. The …

HE study of age at marriage and age-patterns of fer-tility was given new impetus by the post-
war" baby boom" observed in various industrialized countries in the West, where the …

This paper examines the patterns of timing of births of women using data from the Canadian
Fertility Survey of 1984. Semi-Markovian schemes are applied to the maternity histories of …

This article assesses the bias and fit of a hazard rate model by comparing predicted and
nonparametric estimates of survivor probabilities. These comparisons also generate several …

PIP: The author analyzes the stages leading to first marriage in Japan, using data
concerning the period 1905-1955 to illustrate probability models and life table methods …

Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and
accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot …