How does risk selection respond to risk adjustment? New evidence from the Medicare Advantage Program

J Brown, M Duggan, I Kuziemko… - American Economic …, 2014 - aeaweb.org
To combat adverse selection, governments increasingly base payments to health plans and
providers on enrollees' scores from risk-adjustment formulae. In 2004, Medicare began to …

New risk-adjustment system was associated with reduced favorable selection in Medicare Advantage

JM McWilliams, J Hsu, JP Newhouse - Health Affairs, 2012 - healthaffairs.org
Health plans participating in the Medicare managed care program, called Medicare
Advantage since 2003, have historically attracted healthier enrollees than has the traditional …

Steps to reduce favorable risk selection in Medicare Advantage largely succeeded, boding well for health insurance exchanges

JP Newhouse, M Price, J Huang, JM McWilliams… - Health …, 2012 - healthaffairs.org
Within Medicare, the Medicare Advantage program has historically attracted better risks—
healthier, lower-cost patients—than has traditional Medicare. The disproportionate …

How much favorable selection is left in Medicare Advantage?

JP Newhouse, M Price, JM McWilliams… - American journal of …, 2015 - journals.uchicago.edu
The health economics literature contains two models of selection, one with endogenous
plan characteristics to attract good risks and one with fixed plan characteristics; neither …

Measuring adverse selection in managed health care

RG Frank, J Glazer, TG McGuire - Journal of Health Economics, 2000 - Elsevier
Health plans paid by capitation have an incentive to distort the quality of services they offer
to attract profitable and to deter unprofitable enrollees. We characterize plans' rationing as a …

Risk adjustment: where are we now?

JP Newhouse - Inquiry, 1998 - JSTOR
Risk adjustment is intended to minimize selection of patients or enrollees in health plans.
Current efforts generally are recognized as inadequate, but improvement is difficult. The …

High-cost patients had substantial rates of leaving Medicare Advantage and joining traditional Medicare

M Rahman, L Keohane, AN Trivedi, V Mor - Health affairs, 2015 - healthaffairs.org
Medicare Advantage payment regulations include risk-adjusted capitated reimbursement,
which was implemented to discourage favorable risk selection and encourage the retention …

How successful is Medicare advantage?

JP Newhouse, TG McGuire - The Milbank Quarterly, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Context Medicare Part C, or Medicare Advantage (MA), now almost 30 years old, has
generally been viewed as a policy disappointment. Enrollment has vacillated but has never …

Predictability and predictiveness in health care spending

RP Ellis, TG McGuire - Journal of health economics, 2007 - Elsevier
This paper re-examines the relation between the predictability of health care spending and
incentives due to adverse selection. Within an explicit model of health plan decisions about …

Mortality effects and choice across private health insurance plans

J Abaluck, M Caceres Bravo, P Hull… - The quarterly journal of …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Competition in health insurance markets may fail to improve health outcomes if consumers
are not able to identify high-quality plans. We develop and apply a novel instrumental …