Modeling and data choices sway conclusions about climate-conflict links

J O'Loughlin, AM Linke… - Proceedings of the …, 2014 - National Acad Sciences
In an era of growing concern about the human impacts of climate change, the academic and
policy communities are paying increasing attention to the possible link between weather …

Concealing agreements over climate–conflict results

H Buhaug - Proceedings of the National Academy of …, 2014 - National Acad Sciences
Do short-term climatic changes increase civil war risk? This question has been subject to
much scientific debate, prompted by a pair of PNAS studies that reached different …

Climate and civil war: is the relationship robust?

M Burke, J Dykema, D Lobell, E Miguel, S Satyanath - 2010 - nber.org
ABSTRACT A recent paper by Burke et al.(henceforth “we”) finds a strong historical
relationship between warmerthan-average temperatures and the incidence of civil war in …

Reply to Sutton et al.: Relationship between temperature and conflict is robust

MB Burke, E Miguel, S Satyanath… - Proceedings of the …, 2010 - National Acad Sciences
In a recent paper, we documented strong historical linkages between temperature and civil
conflict in Africa (1). Sutton et al.(2) raise two concerns with our findings: that the relationship …

Reply to Burke et al.: Bias and climate war research

H Buhaug - Proceedings of the National Academy of …, 2010 - National Acad Sciences
“Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa,” said Burke et al.(1). A more recent study by
Buhaug (2) that comes to different conclusions is dismissed on “econometric” grounds and …

Climate robustly linked to African civil war

MB Burke, E Miguel, S Satyanath… - Proceedings of the …, 2010 - National Acad Sciences
We previously documented a link between climate variation and historical civil wars in sub-
Saharan Africa (1). Buhaug (2) disputes this link, generating a series of animated news …

Climate variability and conflict risk in East Africa, 1990–2009

J O'loughlin, FDW Witmer, AM Linke… - Proceedings of the …, 2012 - National Acad Sciences
Recent studies concerning the possible relationship between climate trends and the risks of
violent conflict have yielded contradictory results, partly because of choices of conflict …

Does warming increase the risk of civil war in Africa?

AE Sutton, J Dohn, K Loyd… - Proceedings of the …, 2010 - National Acad Sciences
The potential relationship between climate change and conflict is intriguing and warrants
rigorous study. However, the proposition by Burke et al.(1) that warming may be a directly …

Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on the risk of violence in sub-Saharan Africa, 1980–2012

J O'Loughlin, AM Linke… - Proceedings of the …, 2014 - National Acad Sciences
Ongoing debates in the academic community and in the public policy arena continue without
clear resolution about the significance of global climate change for the risk of increased …

Reconciling disagreement over climate–conflict results in Africa

SM Hsiang, KC Meng - Proceedings of the National …, 2014 - National Acad Sciences
A recent study by Burke et al.[Burke M, Miguel E, Satyanath S, Dykema J, Lobell D (2009)
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106 (49): 20670–20674] reports statistical evidence that the …