Comparison of pandemic excess mortality in 2020–2021 across different empirical calculations

M Levitt, F Zonta, JPA Ioannidis - Environmental research, 2022 - Elsevier
Different modeling approaches can be used to calculate excess deaths for the COVID-19
pandemic period. We compared 6 calculations of excess deaths (4 previously published [3 …

Flaws and uncertainties in pandemic global excess death calculations

JPA Ioannidis, F Zonta, M Levitt - European journal of clinical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Several teams have been publishing global estimates of excess deaths during the COVID‐
19 pandemic. Here, we examine potential flaws and underappreciated sources of …

Excess death estimates from multiverse analysis in 2009–2021

M Levitt, F Zonta, JPA Ioannidis - European Journal of Epidemiology, 2023 - Springer
Excess death estimates have great value in public health, but they can be sensitive to
analytical choices. Here we propose a multiverse analysis approach that considers all …

Robustness and bias of European excess death estimates in 2020 under varying model specifications

J Schöley - MedRxiv, 2021 - medrxiv.org
Various procedures are in use to calculate excess deaths during the ongoing COVID-19
pandemic. Using weekly death counts from 20 European countries, we evaluate the …

[HTML][HTML] Excess mortality due to Covid-19? A comparison of total mortality in 2020 with total mortality in 2016 to 2019 in Germany, Sweden and Spain

B Kowall, F Standl, F Oesterling, B Brune, M Brinkmann… - Plos one, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Introduction Excess mortality is a suitable indicator of health consequences of COVID-19
because death from any cause is clearly defined contrary to death from Covid-19. We …

Variability in excess deaths across countries with different vulnerability during 2020–2023

JPA Ioannidis, F Zonta, M Levitt - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
Excess deaths provide total impact estimates of major crises, such as the COVID-19
pandemic. We evaluated excess death trajectories across countries with accurate death …

[HTML][HTML] What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 …

VM Shkolnikov, I Klimkin, M McKee, DA Jdanov… - SSM-population …, 2022 - Elsevier
Excess mortality has been used to measure the impact of COVID-19 over time and across
countries. But what baseline should be chosen? We propose two novel approaches: an …

A comprehensive analysis of all-cause and cause-specific excess deaths in 30 countries during 2020

G Alicandro, C La Vecchia, N Islam… - European Journal of …, 2023 - Springer
The impact of COVID-19 on mortality from specific causes of death remains poorly
understood. This study analysed cause-of-death data provided by the World Health …

Estimates of excess mortality for the five Nordic countries during the COVID-19 pandemic 2020− 2021

KP Kepp, J Björk, V Kontis, RM Parks… - International Journal …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Background Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic is of major scientific and
political interest. Methods We critically reviewed different estimates of all-cause excess …

Excess deaths in the United States during the first year of COVID-19

CJ Ruhm - Preventive Medicine, 2022 - Elsevier
Accurately determining the number of excess deaths caused by the COVID-19 pandemic is
hard. The most important challenge is determining the counterfactual count of baseline …