Examining the Nelson-Siegel class of term structure models: In-sample fit versus out-of-sample forecasting performance

M De Pooter - Available at SSRN 992748, 2007 - papers.ssrn.com
In this paper I examine various extensions of the Nelson and Siegel (1987) model with the
purpose of fitting and forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that …

Examining the Nelson-Siegel class of term structure models

MD Pooter - 2007 - econstor.eu
In this paper I examine various extensions of the Nelson and Siegel (1987) model with the
purpose of fitting and forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that …

Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination

M De Pooter, F Ravazzolo… - FRB International Finance …, 2010 - papers.ssrn.com
We examine the importance of incorporating macroeconomic information and, in particular,
accounting for model uncertainty when forecasting the term structure of US interest rates. We …

Forecasting the term structures of Treasury and corporate yields using dynamic Nelson-Siegel models

WC Yu, E Zivot - International Journal of Forecasting, 2011 - Elsevier
We extend Diebold and Li's dynamic Nelson-Siegel three-factor model to a broader
empirical prospective by including the evaluation of the state space approach and by using …

Forecasting interest rates

G Duffee - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
This chapter discusses what the asset-pricing literature concludes about the forecastability
of interest rates. It outlines forecasting methodologies implied by this literature, including …

Bayesian extensions to Diebold-Li term structure model

MP Laurini, LK Hotta - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2010 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a statistical model to adjust, interpolate, and forecast the term structure
of interest rates. The model is based on the extensions for the term structure model of …

A joint model for the term structure of interest rates and the macroeconomy

H Dewachter, M Lyrio, K Maes - Journal of Applied …, 2006 - Wiley Online Library
We present and estimate a continuous time term structure model that incorporates
observable macroeconomic variables and latent variables with a clear macroeconomic …

Forecasting bond yields in the Brazilian fixed income market

J Vicente, BM Tabak - International Journal of Forecasting, 2008 - Elsevier
This paper studies the predictive ability of a variety of models in forecasting the yield curve
for the Brazilian fixed income market. We compare affine term structure models with a …

Estimation of dynamic term structure models

GR Duffee, RH Stanton - The Quarterly Journal of Finance, 2012 - World Scientific
We study the finite-sample properties of some of the standard techniques used to estimate
modern term structure models. For sample sizes and models similar to those used in most …

Pricing the term structure with linear regressions

T Adrian, RK Crump, E Moench - Journal of Financial Economics, 2013 - Elsevier
We show how to price the time series and cross section of the term structure of interest rates
using a three-step linear regression approach. Our method allows computationally fast …