Examining the Nelson-Siegel class of term structure models: In-sample fit versus out-of-sample forecasting performance
M De Pooter - Available at SSRN 992748, 2007 - papers.ssrn.com
In this paper I examine various extensions of the Nelson and Siegel (1987) model with the
purpose of fitting and forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that …
purpose of fitting and forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that …
Examining the Nelson-Siegel class of term structure models
MD Pooter - 2007 - econstor.eu
In this paper I examine various extensions of the Nelson and Siegel (1987) model with the
purpose of fitting and forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that …
purpose of fitting and forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that …
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination
M De Pooter, F Ravazzolo… - FRB International Finance …, 2010 - papers.ssrn.com
We examine the importance of incorporating macroeconomic information and, in particular,
accounting for model uncertainty when forecasting the term structure of US interest rates. We …
accounting for model uncertainty when forecasting the term structure of US interest rates. We …
Forecasting the term structures of Treasury and corporate yields using dynamic Nelson-Siegel models
WC Yu, E Zivot - International Journal of Forecasting, 2011 - Elsevier
We extend Diebold and Li's dynamic Nelson-Siegel three-factor model to a broader
empirical prospective by including the evaluation of the state space approach and by using …
empirical prospective by including the evaluation of the state space approach and by using …
Forecasting interest rates
G Duffee - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
This chapter discusses what the asset-pricing literature concludes about the forecastability
of interest rates. It outlines forecasting methodologies implied by this literature, including …
of interest rates. It outlines forecasting methodologies implied by this literature, including …
Bayesian extensions to Diebold-Li term structure model
MP Laurini, LK Hotta - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2010 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a statistical model to adjust, interpolate, and forecast the term structure
of interest rates. The model is based on the extensions for the term structure model of …
of interest rates. The model is based on the extensions for the term structure model of …
A joint model for the term structure of interest rates and the macroeconomy
We present and estimate a continuous time term structure model that incorporates
observable macroeconomic variables and latent variables with a clear macroeconomic …
observable macroeconomic variables and latent variables with a clear macroeconomic …
Forecasting bond yields in the Brazilian fixed income market
This paper studies the predictive ability of a variety of models in forecasting the yield curve
for the Brazilian fixed income market. We compare affine term structure models with a …
for the Brazilian fixed income market. We compare affine term structure models with a …
Estimation of dynamic term structure models
GR Duffee, RH Stanton - The Quarterly Journal of Finance, 2012 - World Scientific
We study the finite-sample properties of some of the standard techniques used to estimate
modern term structure models. For sample sizes and models similar to those used in most …
modern term structure models. For sample sizes and models similar to those used in most …
Pricing the term structure with linear regressions
We show how to price the time series and cross section of the term structure of interest rates
using a three-step linear regression approach. Our method allows computationally fast …
using a three-step linear regression approach. Our method allows computationally fast …