Complexity signatures in the COVID-19 epidemic: power-law behaviour in the saturation regime of fatality curves

GL Vasconcelos, AMS Macêdo, GC Duarte-Filho… - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
We apply a versatile growth model, whose growth rate is given by a generalised beta
distribution, to describe the complex behaviour of the fatality curves of the COVID-19 …

[HTML][HTML] Power law behaviour in the saturation regime of fatality curves of the COVID-19 pandemic

GL Vasconcelos, AMS Macêdo, GC Duarte-Filho… - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
We apply a versatile growth model, whose growth rate is given by a generalised beta
distribution, to describe the complex behaviour of the fatality curves of the COVID-19 …

A scaling investigation of pattern in the spread of COVID-19: universality in real data and a predictive analytical description

SK Das - Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We analyse the spread of COVID-19, a disease caused by a novel coronavirus, in various
countries by proposing a model that exploits the scaling and other important concepts of …

Patterns of the COVID-19 pandemic spread around the world: exponential versus power laws

NL Komarova, LM Schang… - Journal of the Royal …, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We have analysed the COVID-19 epidemic data of more than 174 countries (excluding
China) in the period between 22 January and 28 March 2020. We found that some countries …

[HTML][HTML] A new logistic growth model applied to COVID-19 fatality data

S Triambak, DP Mahapatra, N Mallick, R Sahoo - Epidemics, 2021 - Elsevier
Background: Recent work showed that the temporal growth of the novel coronavirus disease
(COVID-19) follows a sub-exponential power-law scaling whenever effective control …

Spread of COVID-19: Investigation of universal features in real data

SK Das - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
We present results on the existence of various common patterns in the growth of the total
number of patients affected by COVID-19, a disease acquired through infection by a novel …

[HTML][HTML] Complexity of COVID-19 dynamics

B Sivakumar, B Deepthi - Entropy, 2021 - mdpi.com
With population explosion and globalization, the spread of infectious diseases has been a
major concern. In 2019, a newly identified type of Coronavirus caused an outbreak of …

[HTML][HTML] Power-law distribution in the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases

B Blasius - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear …, 2020 - pubs.aip.org
COVID-19 is an emerging respiratory infectious disease caused by the coronavirus SARS-
CoV-2. It was first reported on in early December 2019 in Wuhan, China and within three …

Short-term predictions of country-specific Covid-19 infection rates based on power law scaling exponents

HM Singer - arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.11997, 2020 - arxiv.org
The number of corona virus (COVID-19) infections grows worldwide. In order to create short
term predictions to prepare for the extent of the global pandemic we analyze infection data …

[HTML][HTML] Critical fluctuations in epidemic models explain COVID-19 post-lockdown dynamics

M Aguiar, JB Van-Dierdonck, J Mar, N Cusimano… - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
As the COVID-19 pandemic progressed, research on mathematical modeling became
imperative and very influential to understand the epidemiological dynamics of disease …