Time to build and fluctuations in bulk shipping

M Kalouptsidi - American Economic Review, 2014 - aeaweb.org
This paper explores the nature of fluctuations in world bulk shipping by quantifying the
impact of time to build and demand uncertainty on investment and prices. We examine the …

Waves in ship prices and investment

R Greenwood, SG Hanson - The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2015 - academic.oup.com
We study the link between investment boom and bust cycles and returns on capital in the dry
bulk shipping industry. We show that high current ship earnings are associated with high …

Asset bubbles in shipping? An analysis of recent history in the drybulk market

R Adland, H Jia, S Strandenes - Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2006 - Springer
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the hypothesis that the freight market boom in the
drybulk freight market between 2003 and 2005 caused asset values in the second-hand …

Learning and investment under demand uncertainty in container shipping

J Jeon - The RAND Journal of Economics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This article investigates the role of demand uncertainty in explaining cyclical investment
fluctuations in the container shipping industry. I develop and estimate a dynamic oligopoly …

The dynamics between freight volatility and fleet size growth in dry bulk shipping markets

JJ Xu, TL Yip, PB Marlow - Transportation research part E: logistics and …, 2011 - Elsevier
This paper studies the relationship between the time-varying volatility of dry bulk freight rates
and the change of the supply of fleet trading in dry bulk markets. An abundance of research …

Econometric modelling of newbuilding and secondhand ship prices

HE Haralambides, SD Tsolakis… - Research in …, 2005 - books.google.com
One could hardly find a shipping paper that does not start by stressing that shipping is a very
volatile, unpredictable and risky market; that, at the same time, shipping is the bloodline of …

[HTML][HTML] World economic growth and seaborne trade volume: quantifying the relationship

NA Michail - Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 2020 - Elsevier
This article quantifies the relationship between the world macroeconomic environment and
the demand for seaborne transport, using annual data on the quantity of crude oil, petroleum …

Shipping finance: time to follow a new track?

AM Goulielmos, M Psifia - Maritime Policy & Management, 2006 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper we introduce, for the first time, a methodology from the most recent literature of
finance to reveal the duration of shipping cycles and then show the benefit of the use of this …

An econometric analysis for container shipping market

M Luo, L Fan, L Liu - Maritime Policy & Management, 2009 - Taylor & Francis
This article presents an econometric analysis for the fluctuation of the container freight rate
due to the interactions between the demand for container transportation services and the …

Forecasting turning points in shipping freight rates: lessons from 30 years of practical effort

J Randers, U Göluke - … Dynamics Review: The Journal of the …, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
We argue that it is possible to explain much of the history of the world's shipping markets
since 1950 as the interaction of two balancing feedback loops: a capacity adjustment loop …