OBJECTIVE: To examine the validity and usefulness of pandemic simulations aimed at
informing practical decision-making in public health. METHODS: We recruited a …

There has been an unprecedented increase in the frequency of serious global epidemic
risks in the last decade. The COVID-19 pandemic has overwhelmed the world since 2020 …

The COronaVIrus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic that has had the world in its grip from
the beginning of 2020, has resulted in an unprecedented level of public interest and media …

Mathematical models are increasingly relied upon as decision support tools, which estimate
risks and generate recommendations to underpin public health policies. However, there are …

Where are infections spreading? How many people will be affected? What are some
different ways to stop the spread of an epidemic? These are questions that the public and …

During the 2009 H1N1 pandemic, decision-makers had access to mathematical and
computational models that were not available in previous pandemics in 1918, 1957, and …

make another welcomed call for increased uptake and investment in systems modelling
tools to provide evidence better suited to addressing complex public health problems. We …

Mathematical modeling has played a prominent and necessary role in the current
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, with an increasing number of models …

Infectious disease modeling plays an important role in the response to infectious disease
outbreaks, perhaps most notably during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) …

An agent-based model is a stochastic model in which the population's characteristics, such
as age, health status, sex, social features, and others, are simulated at the individual level …