Sovereign default risk premia, fiscal limits, and fiscal policy

H Bi - European Economic Review, 2012 - Elsevier
We develop a closed economy model to study the interactions among sovereign risk premia,
fiscal limits, and fiscal policy. The fiscal limits, which measure the government's ability to …

Fiscal rules and the sovereign default premium

JC Hatchondo, L Martinez, F Roch - American Economic Journal …, 2022 - aeaweb.org
We study fiscal rules using a sovereign default model. A debt-brake (spread-brake) rule
imposes a ceiling on the fiscal deficit when the sovereign debt (spread) is above a threshold …

Debt dilution and sovereign default risk

JC Hatchondo, L Martinez… - Journal of Political …, 2016 - journals.uchicago.edu
We measure the effects of debt dilution on sovereign default risk and study debt covenants
that could mitigate these effects. We calibrate a baseline model with endogenous debt …

Sovereign risk, fiscal policy, and macroeconomic stability

G Corsetti, K Kuester, A Meier… - The Economic Journal, 2013 - academic.oup.com
This article analyses the impact of strained government finances on macroeconomic stability
and the transmission of fiscal policy. Using a variant of the model by Cúrdia and Woodford …

Fiscal fatigue, fiscal space and debt sustainability in advanced economies

AR Ghosh, JI Kim, EG Mendoza, JD Ostry… - The Economic …, 2013 - academic.oup.com
How high can public debt rise without compromising fiscal solvency? We answer this
question using a stochastic model of sovereign default in which risk‐neutral investors lend to …

A fiscal theory of sovereign risk

M Uribe - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2006 - Elsevier
Under certain monetary-fiscal regimes the risk of default and thus the emergence of
sovereign risk premiums are inevitable. This paper argues that in this context even small …

Does austerity pay off?

B Born, GJ Müller, J Pfeifer - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020 - direct.mit.edu
We investigate empirically how fiscal shocks—unanticipated and exogenous changes of
government consumption growth—affect the sovereign default premium. For this purpose …

A quantitative model of sovereign debt, bailouts and conditionality

F Fink, A Scholl - Journal of International Economics, 2016 - Elsevier
In times of sovereign debt crises, International Financial Institutions provide temporary
financial support contingent on the implementation of specific macroeconomic policies. This …

Reserve accumulation, macroeconomic stabilization, and sovereign risk

J Bianchi, C Sosa-Padilla - Review of Economic Studies, 2024 - academic.oup.com
In the past three decades, governments in emerging markets have accumulated large
amounts of international reserves, especially those with fixed exchange rates. This article …

Sovereign debt as a contingent claim: a quantitative approach

L Alfaro, F Kanczuk - Journal of International Economics, 2005 - Elsevier
We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to
quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by …