Robust estimates of extinction time in the geological record

CJA Bradshaw, A Cooper, CSM Turney… - Quaternary Science …, 2012 - Elsevier
… ' extinction is difficult to determine accurately. ► We develop a robust method (GRIWM) to
estimate extinction dates … GRIWM leads to less biased estimates of the ‘true’ extinction date. …

Accurate and precise estimates of origination and extinction rates

J Alroy - Paleobiology, 2014 - cambridge.org
… When used to estimate extinction rates these equations consider not only t2, t3, and p but
also counts of taxa found in intervals iÀ1 and iþ2 and not within interval iþ1. These are called …

[HTML][HTML] Estimating extinction time using radiocarbon dates

S Herrando-Pérez, F Saltré - Quaternary Geochronology, 2024 - Elsevier
… different estimators of extinction time whether they are reliant on a p-value (original
conceptualization) or not (novel). CRIWM and Rextinct are robust tools to time extinction and arrival …

A robust nonparametric method for quantifying undetected extinctions

RA Chisholm, X Giam, KR Sadanandan… - Conservation …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
time series of detected extant and detected extinct species without making strong assumptions.
We made nonparametric estimates of the total proportion of extinct … of undetected extinct

Uncertainties in dating constrain model choice for inferring extinction time from fossil records

F Saltré, BW Brook, M Rodríguez-Rey, A Cooper… - Quaternary Science …, 2015 - Elsevier
… The ‘best’ method should demonstrate: (i) robustness and flexibility for successfully inferring
extinction timings for various types of dated records; (ii) the ability to account explicitly for …

Is it meaningful to estimate a probability of extinction?

D Ludwig - Ecology, 1999 - Wiley Online Library
… of the estimates for the probability of extinction, (2) the sensitivity of such estimates to model
assumptions, and (3) the lack of attention to important factors influencing the extinction of …

How biased are estimates of extinction probability in revisitation studies?

M Kery, JH Spillmann, C Truong… - Journal of …, 2006 - Wiley Online Library
… , that are set back from time to time, for example by fires, a fairly … estimate of extinction
probability over a short time period may then yield dramatically high extinction probability estimates

Extinction can be estimated from moderately sized molecular phylogenies

JM Beaulieu, BC O'Meara - Evolution, 2015 - academic.oup.com
… the tree, estimates of the extinction fraction (ie, extinction rate/… no extinction and a peak
implying speciation and extinction … by many practitioners that extinction cannot be understood …

Challenges in the estimation of extinction from molecular phylogenies: a response to Beaulieu and O'Meara

DL Rabosky - Evolution, 2016 - academic.oup.com
… that phylogenetic extinction estimates are robust to speciation … , positive bias in extinction
estimates that are exacerbated by … extinction in molecular phylogenies, suggests that extinction

Bayesian estimation of speciation and extinction from incomplete fossil occurrence data

D Silvestro, J Schnitzler, LH Liow, A Antonelli… - Systematic …, 2014 - academic.oup.com
… framework to jointly estimate species-specific times of speciation and extinction and the rates
… We evaluate the robustness of the joint estimation of the times of speciation and extinction