Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend

DE Bloom, M Kuhn, K Prettner - Journal of Demographic Economics, 2017 - cambridge.org
Journal of Demographic Economics, 2017cambridge.org
We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and
dependency ratios in Africa remain high, they have started to decline. According to UN
projections, they will fall further in the coming decades such that by the mid-21st century, the
ratio of the working age to dependent population will be greater than in Asia, Europe, and
Northern America. This projection suggests Africa has considerable potential to enjoy a
demographic dividend. Whether and when it actually materializes, and also its magnitude …
We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa remain high, they have started to decline. According to UN projections, they will fall further in the coming decades such that by the mid-21st century, the ratio of the working age to dependent population will be greater than in Asia, Europe, and Northern America. This projection suggests Africa has considerable potential to enjoy a demographic dividend. Whether and when it actually materializes, and also its magnitude, hinges on policies and institutions in key realms that include macroeconomic management, human capital, trade, governance, and labor and capital markets. Given strong complementarities among these areas, coordinated policies will likely be most effective in generating the momentum needed to pull Africa's economies out of a development trap.
Cambridge University Press
以上显示的是最相近的搜索结果。 查看全部搜索结果