[图书][B] Boosting carry with equilibrium exchange rate estimates

M Rubaszek, J Beckmann, M Ca'Zorzi, M Kwas - 2022 - econstor.eu
2022econstor.eu
We build currency portfolios based on the paradigm that exchange rates slowly converge to
their equilibrium to highlight three results. First, this property can be exploited to build
profitable portfolios. Second, the slow pace of convergence at short-horizons is consistent
with the evidence of profitable carry trade strategies, ie the common practice of borrowing in
low-yield currencies and investing in high-yield currencies. Third, the predictive power of
equilibrium exchange rates may boost the performance of carry trade strategies.
We build currency portfolios based on the paradigm that exchange rates slowly converge to their equilibrium to highlight three results. First, this property can be exploited to build profitable portfolios. Second, the slow pace of convergence at short-horizons is consistent with the evidence of profitable carry trade strategies, i.e. the common practice of borrowing in low-yield currencies and investing in high-yield currencies. Third, the predictive power of equilibrium exchange rates may boost the performance of carry trade strategies.
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