Deep gaussian process for crop yield prediction based on remote sensing data
Proceedings of the AAAI conference on artificial intelligence, 2017•ojs.aaai.org
Agricultural monitoring, especially in developing countries, can help prevent famine and
support humanitarian efforts. A central challenge is yield estimation, ie, predicting crop
yields before harvest. We introduce a scalable, accurate, and inexpensive method to predict
crop yields using publicly available remote sensing data. Our approach improves existing
techniques in three ways. First, we forego hand-crafted features traditionally used in the
remote sensing community and propose an approach based on modern representation …
support humanitarian efforts. A central challenge is yield estimation, ie, predicting crop
yields before harvest. We introduce a scalable, accurate, and inexpensive method to predict
crop yields using publicly available remote sensing data. Our approach improves existing
techniques in three ways. First, we forego hand-crafted features traditionally used in the
remote sensing community and propose an approach based on modern representation …
Abstract
Agricultural monitoring, especially in developing countries, can help prevent famine and support humanitarian efforts. A central challenge is yield estimation, ie, predicting crop yields before harvest. We introduce a scalable, accurate, and inexpensive method to predict crop yields using publicly available remote sensing data. Our approach improves existing techniques in three ways. First, we forego hand-crafted features traditionally used in the remote sensing community and propose an approach based on modern representation learning ideas. We also introduce a novel dimensionality reduction technique that allows us to train a Convolutional Neural Network or Long-short Term Memory network and automatically learn useful features even when labeled training data are scarce. Finally, we incorporate a Gaussian Process component to explicitly model the spatio-temporal structure of the data and further improve accuracy. We evaluate our approach on county-level soybean yield prediction in the US and show that it outperforms competing techniques.
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