… ARIMA models are developed to forecast droughts using the quantitative drought monitoring
index … with Han’s AR(1) models for better performance of the models. The structures of the …

… Vegetation temperature condition index … as a drought index to describe the drought
condition of the Guanzhong Plain. The ARIMA models are applied to simulate and forecast VTCI …

… 的ARIMA预测模型是比较困难 的.这里采用的方法是对该区域的某些像素点的 VTCI时间序列的
变化规律进行研究,确定这些 像素点适合的ARIMA… ARIMA模型的建模分 析,分析方法依照 ARIMA…

… collectively revealed slight shifts towards increasing droughts. Projections … of Temperature
Condition Index; it is used to capture different vegetation responses under temperature …

… precipitation and temperature data from 613 … ARIMA model at SPEI6, SPEI12, and SPEI24.
This shows that SVR is more suitable for long-term drought prediction than the ARIMA model. …

… result, human activities and natural life of plants are disturbed. … such as minimum and maximum
temperature, humidity, potential … , ARIMA model is considered a useful tool for forecasting …

… difference vegetation index (NDVI), and by modeling the … using autoregressive integrated
moving average (ARIMA) … that the ARIMA model yielded a clear advantage in drought …

… as the prediction of drought, fire risk and forest disease are … We suggest that it is possible
to forecast vegetation status by the … ARIMA models with MVC-NDVI time series to forecast the …

… ARIMA model is generally derived from three basic time series … that both vegetation index
and temperature index had an important role in modeling and monitoring drought condition. …

… , recharge groundwater aquifers, and provide the water treatment plant with water. More than
… Based on the calculated SPI, we employed the ARIMA model to forecast droughts. As the …