Efficient Bayesian mixed-model analysis increases association power in large cohorts

PR Loh, G Tucker, BK Bulik-Sullivan, BJ Vilhjálmsson… - Nature …, 2015 - nature.com
Nature genetics, 2015nature.com
Linear mixed models are a powerful statistical tool for identifying genetic associations and
avoiding confounding. However, existing methods are computationally intractable in large
cohorts and may not optimize power. All existing methods require time cost O (MN 2)(where
N is the number of samples and M is the number of SNPs) and implicitly assume an
infinitesimal genetic architecture in which effect sizes are normally distributed, which can
limit power. Here we present a far more efficient mixed-model association method, BOLT …
Abstract
Linear mixed models are a powerful statistical tool for identifying genetic associations and avoiding confounding. However, existing methods are computationally intractable in large cohorts and may not optimize power. All existing methods require time cost O(MN2) (where N is the number of samples and M is the number of SNPs) and implicitly assume an infinitesimal genetic architecture in which effect sizes are normally distributed, which can limit power. Here we present a far more efficient mixed-model association method, BOLT-LMM, which requires only a small number of O(MN) time iterations and increases power by modeling more realistic, non-infinitesimal genetic architectures via a Bayesian mixture prior on marker effect sizes. We applied BOLT-LMM to 9 quantitative traits in 23,294 samples from the Women's Genome Health Study (WGHS) and observed significant increases in power, consistent with simulations. Theory and simulations show that the boost in power increases with cohort size, making BOLT-LMM appealing for genome-wide association studies in large cohorts.
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