Extreme risk spillovers between China and major international stock markets

L Qian, Y Jiang, H Long - Modern Finance, 2023 - ceeol.com
L Qian, Y Jiang, H Long
Modern Finance, 2023ceeol.com
We examine the complex dependence structure and risk spillovers between the Chinese
stock market and twelve major international markets. To this end, we employ three types of
vine copulas and tests for the Granger causality in risk of Hong et al.(2009). The results
indicate that the R-vine copula is the optimal model to characterize the high-dimensional
dependence structure of the markets after China joined the WTO, which suggests obvious
structural differences with varying degrees of mainly positive dependences. Moreover, we …
We examine the complex dependence structure and risk spillovers between the Chinese stock market and twelve major international markets. To this end, we employ three types of vine copulas and tests for the Granger causality in risk of Hong et al. (2009). The results indicate that the R-vine copula is the optimal model to characterize the high-dimensional dependence structure of the markets after China joined the WTO, which suggests obvious structural differences with varying degrees of mainly positive dependences. Moreover, we identify unilateral extreme risk spillovers from China to the United States, France, and Germany, and either from Japan to China. We also detect bilateral spillovers between China and the United States, Japan, as well as Australia.
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