Institutions, governmental performance and the rise of political newcomers

M Carreras - European Journal of Political Research, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
European Journal of Political Research, 2017Wiley Online Library
This article analyses the institutional and contextual factors that facilitate the election of
political newcomers as heads of government in democratic regimes. Using data from 870
democratic elections between 1945 and 2015, it is found that political newcomers are more
likely to be successful in presidential systems, in new democracies and when party systems
are weakly institutionalised. The election of politically inexperienced candidates is also
related to governmental performance. Political newcomers are more successful when the …
Abstract
This article analyses the institutional and contextual factors that facilitate the election of political newcomers as heads of government in democratic regimes. Using data from 870 democratic elections between 1945 and 2015, it is found that political newcomers are more likely to be successful in presidential systems, in new democracies and when party systems are weakly institutionalised. The election of politically inexperienced candidates is also related to governmental performance. Political newcomers are more successful when the economic performance of the government is bad and when the government engages in high‐level corruption.
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