Intrinsic Real Option Value: Empirical Evidence from Commercial Real Estate Investors

S Büchler, A Van de Minne, O Schöni - MIT Center for Real Estate …, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
S Büchler, A Van de Minne, O Schöni
MIT Center for Real Estate Research Paper, 2020papers.ssrn.com
We investigate how local information externalities affect investments in tangible durable
assets via real options. Using geocoded transaction-level data on US commercial properties
from 2000 to 2018, we find that investors have a higher propensity to invest in a property for
immediate redevelopment when its capital intensity and type of commercial activity differ
from those of recently built nearby properties. Information externalities affect'buy-to-
redevelop'investment strategies as much as the asset capital depreciation-a main …
Abstract
We investigate how local information externalities affect investments in tangible durable assets via real options. Using geocoded transaction-level data on US commercial properties from 2000 to 2018, we find that investors have a higher propensity to invest in a property for immediate redevelopment when its capital intensity and type of commercial activity differ from those of recently built nearby properties. Information externalities affect'buy-to-redevelop'investment strategies as much as the asset capital depreciation-a main determinant of real option exercise highlighted in the literature-and can increase up to 30 percent the investors' willingness to pay to invest in the property.
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