Ovarian failure risk in post-pubertal patients with cancer: a prognostic model

R Cioffi, ML Fais, A Bergamini, VS Vanni… - Future …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
R Cioffi, ML Fais, A Bergamini, VS Vanni, L Pagliardini, E Papaleo, G Mangili, M Candiani
Future Oncology, 2022Taylor & Francis
Aim: To develop a predictive model for ovarian failure (OF) after chemotherapy in young post-
pubertal women with cancer. Methods: Retrospective, monocentric cohort study including
348 patients referring to the Oncofertility Unit of San Raffaele Hospital (Milan, Italy) from
August 2011 to January 2020. A predictive model was constructed by multivariate logistic
regression and receiver operating characteristic analysis. Results: Data about menstrual
function resumption were available for 184 patients. The best predictive model for OF was …
Aim
To develop a predictive model for ovarian failure (OF) after chemotherapy in young post-pubertal women with cancer.
Methods
Retrospective, monocentric cohort study including 348 patients referring to the Oncofertility Unit of San Raffaele Hospital (Milan, Italy) from August 2011 to January 2020. A predictive model was constructed by multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic analysis.
Results
Data about menstrual function resumption were available for 184 patients. The best predictive model for OF was identified by the combination of age; number of chemotherapy lines; vincristine, adriamycin, ifosphamide/adriamycin, ifosphamide; capecitabine; adriamycin, bleomycine, vinblastine, doxorubicin (area under the curve = 0.906; CI 95% 0.858–0.954; p = 0.0001).
Conclusions
The model predicts the probability of loss of ovarian function at cancer diagnosis and with every change of treatment.
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