The" Drake equation''of exomoons--a cascade of formation, stability and detection

GM Szabó, J Schneider, Z Dencs, S Kálmán - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
After 25 years of the prediction of the possibility of observations, and despite the many
hundred of well studied transiting exoplanet systems, we are still waiting for the
announcement of the first confirmed exomoon. Following the``cascade''structure of the
Drake-equation, but applied to the existence of an observable exomoon instead the original
scope of extraterrestrial intelligence. The scope of this paper is to reveal the structure of the
problem, rather than giving a quantitative solution. We identify three important steps that can …

The “Drake Equation” of Exomoons—A Cascade of Formation, Stability and Detection

GM Szabó, J Schneider, Z Dencs, S Kálmán - Universe, 2024 - mdpi.com
After 25 years of the prediction of the possibility of observations, and despite the many
hundreds of well-studied transiting exoplanet systems, we are still waiting for the
announcement of the first confirmed exomoon. We follow the “cascade” structure of the
Drake equation but apply it to the chain of events leading to a successful detection of an
exomoon. The scope of this paper is to reveal the structure of the problem, rather than to
give a quantitative solution. We identify three important steps that can lead us to discovery …
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